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GaryP's avatar

I'm spoiled. I work in an industrial laboratory and can demand more information about the data and how it was collected. Your pretty colored lines for slope indicate a decrease in deaths since the vaccine. But they are at the end of the very noisy data. As a member of the jury I would like to see the data with no slopes and only two vertical lines. Start of Covid ~March 2020. Start of Vaccines ~March 2021. A table of slope and slope uncertainty would probably show the likely values of the blue and green slope overlap. Maybe a T-test?

Alabama is on the gulf coast, a near tropical climate. Historically flu's have a different profile in tropical climates than northern climates, a slower rise, a longer stable level, and a slow decline. (HT to Ivor Cummins, now on Odysee.) Northern climates like Scotland have a fast rise and somewhat slower fall.

A long stable level of virus infections in a tropical climate will make it hard to find the effect of the jabs. Too much overlap.

So yes, Prior knowledge did not allow me to answer your questions other than the prior knowledge question. I also don't know the percent jabbed, once, twice, jabbed to eventual death within 5 years for Alabama.

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LolCox's avatar

The vax somehow manages to reduce mortality from everything! It's amazing!

Or it's a pull-forward effect. More people die in 1 year (mostly old/frail who were close to death anyway) this reduces mortality the next year.

And when you include this mass-death event in the start of the next slope calculation, it can only go down.

Young people weren't really dying from the virus. Drug ODs and suicides were a far more significant cause of death.

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