Dec 1, 2022·edited Dec 1, 2022Liked by Joel Smalley
The heterogeneous vs. homogenous argument goes right to the heart of the dramatically failed response to Covid from the very beginning. The models presumed that, because SC-2 was supposedly 'novel', the human immune system of everyone would completely fail to recognise it and so mount any immune response based on prior immunity. Ferguson's ludicrous model projections were based on a homogeneous population where everybody was equally susceptible to the virus. Witless and Unbalanced 'sagely' reminded us that this was the case, week after week, in their gloomy prognostications presided over by Pol Pot Belly in Downing Street. It wasn't true. They lied. Age and general health influenced greatly who became infected and ill, thus able to spread the disease. Asymptomatic infection was NOT a major facet of transmission. Prior immunity from exposure to other, similar pathogens existed and this varied across populations and nationalities.
With a heterogeneous population, the herd immunity threshold was nothing like the 60-70% quoted by Witless and Unbalanced. It was more like 40%. There was never any need to lock everybody in their homes or adopt any of the other ridiculous non-pharmaceutical interventions. All that was needed was to take reasonable measures to protect the vulnerable AND ensure they had access to early intervention medication (The Great Barrington Declaration). Instead, they banned and discredited the early intervention medications, killed people with lethally ineffective medical interventions and claimed that the only way to 'safely' reach the fake herd immunity threshold of 80-90% (it kept going up) was to inject everyone with a novel experimental 'vaccine'. The rest is history and a very, very unpleasant present.
I think the real questions may be Is there any actual evidence that "Public Health" is serving the greater good generally? And do they have any intention to?
Could you please site the scientific literature that an influenza like particle causes COVID-19?
I am a physician with a background in molecular biology, epidemiology and infectious disease prevention. I have not been able to find any proof that I fully sequenced SARS Cov2 virus has ever been isolated from any individual said to suffer from the non specific syndrome known as Covid19.
Please don’t waste your, my or your reader’s time by citing PCR positivity for an silico (imaginary) computer generated “viron.”
2. Bronchiectasis, asthma, menopausal hot flushes leading to very poor sleep.
Both over 60 years of age.
Unvaccinated.
Covid September 2021
No post virual symptoms. Both back to pre covid health.
9 day illness
Both pretty ill.
It is clear to me how people in care homes would have died. Sick people need constant care. I had to nurse my very sick dementia covid husband constantly, night and day, even though I was also unwell (couldn't stand at times so crawling around to get the care needed done). I believe he would have likely died of thirst and a pneumonia without my constant attentive care.
You Jo helped me to be wary of what was going on from an early stage.
I never ever at any point expected others be locked down, restricted or anything else for that matter to 'save me'. How dreadful.
Dear Joel thank you ever so much for your diligent analysis and the presentation of your work on Substack. I was wondering if you have ever looked at birth rates? This would be extremely interesting. In particular is there (1) any signal that birthdate around the World changed as a consequence of the NPI measures put in place and (2) changed after “vaccine” rollout? Thanks again
Dec 1, 2022·edited Dec 1, 2022Liked by Joel Smalley
First off thanks for all your amazing work on everything.
Secondly, you likely already know this, Pueyo is completely bought off.
Now to your points:
1) People die.
Yes they do.
On Edit: I'll add that while people die they are also killed- big difference between these two positions.
All analysis of "Covid-19" flows from the understanding that it was the latter that were are speaking of not a natural or "lab induced" epidemiological event. If that is not one's baseline position than all further threads of analysis will be mistaken right from the start.
2) People die more frequently at certain times of the year.
Yep
3) Periods of higher mortality are typically associated with the prevalence of influenza-like pathogens (ILPs).
Categorization of ILP's is fungible and up for grabs.
4) ILPs are present all year round but may lie dormant in some hosts, reactivated at certain times when their immune systems are relatively weak.
Many, many other factors involved.
5) ILPs impact the population (in terms of infections and illness) as a constant battle with the host population’s immune system (to fight off infection and disease progression) and their metabolic health.
Same as 3 and 4.
6) The battle between ILPs varies mainly due to variation in levels of immunity of the host, and to a lesser extent due to variation in pathogenicity of the ILP.
Same as 3,4, and 5. Import of pathogencitiy of ILP is questionsable at best.
7) Immunity levels are a function of multiple factors but they are all related to age, general (metabolic) health of the host, the physical environment.
Yep.
8) COVID exists (but isn’t really novel).
"Covid" is nothing more than a nebulous variety of common disease symptoms in the presence of a fraudulent PCR result none of which have ever been proven to be caused or transmitted by a specific microbe.
9) The virus that causes COVID (SARS-CoV-2) was re-engineered in a lab to make it more infectious (the latter part being its only novelty).
Even if it was the case you have to believe some of the most preposterous things to think this "GOF virus" was "more infectious."
10) It is impossible to suppress the spread of a respiratory pathogen to the extent that community spread has a positive impact on severe outcomes, including death without total isolation of every member of society. thus, I acknowledge the theory of transmission.
Yet to be proven nor relevant to this issue.
11) If COVID had been treated like all other ILPs (anti-virals, nutraceuticals, social care), the overall excess mortality would not have been unusual.
Yep- except COVID is a fiction- all of it. This also somewhat contradicts point #9.
12) Excessive spikes in excess mortality are due to a myriad of causes, substantially how the vulnerable/susceptible are treated (or not!), and not as a function of the amount of ILP circulating in the community (although some has to be present, which it always is).
People were murdered by policies.
13) Excess, non-COVID mortality arises directly from futile interventions designed to mitigate the spread of the ILP, including disruption to healthcare provision and inappropriate medical treatment.
You would be hard pressed to find a single "Covid death" anywhere in the world even if you believed Covid was "a thing."
The interventions weren't "futile" they were orchestrated criminal actions. Suggesting they were "futile" implies (falsely) that the parties who imposed the interventions were acting in good faith.
14) The mRNA “vaccine” is not Safe or Effective™.
There is nothing for these injections to be "effective" against. The perps don't care as they are the most profitable medical items in history and that was/is their intended function.
you are a godsend to us, the people who are not good at reading dozens of stats and coming up with a conclusion. I am sending this post to my son, who is a statistician but has bought into the 'official narrative' and just got his fourth jab. I worry about him, on many levels...thank you for doing this vital research.
Thank you for applying your talent and expertise to hard work and sharing your findings and theories. You have made such a positive contribution to countering the confusion.
Great summary, thank you. I love a numbered list! I just want you to know that I read everything you write even if I haven't commented before or rarely "click through" from the email. Your efforts here are hugely appreciated.
"What’s truly incredible is that any of this needs saying. I can still clearly recollect Covidians arguing that it was not easier to protect the vulnerable (who were already mainly corralled in hospitals and care homes anyway) who numbered no more than 2% of the population, than it was to shut down the other 98%."
----------
And as a bonus, we were still unable to keep the virus out of nursing homes and jails, where we can much more easily control who comes and goes. If we can't keep the bug out of THOSE places, what chance do we have to keep it out of the population?
I remember the Private Eye magazine doctor saying how dangerous it had been of Boris Johnson to suggest we all just carry on as normal because apparently the British public were far too fat/ill/unhealthy to manage not to die before herd immunity was reached. Arrogant twat thinking that humanity couldn't cope with a coronavirus! Even if it had been fiddled with in Wuhan, it was clear that it wasn't killing "normal" people - just like ILPs normally don't kill "normal" people. As for the idea that it was somehow unfair on the elderly/sick/compromised if they were protected whilst the rest of us just got on with life! Wonder if anyone asked the care home residents who generally live in virtual prisons anyway whether they wanted their grandkids locked away from them.
Sadly Joel, you are still only preaching to the converted aren't you? Unless you can get the BBC to discuss your findings the brainwashed Covidian idiots who have "put it all behind them" aren't going to have to face up to what they've done.
The heterogeneous vs. homogenous argument goes right to the heart of the dramatically failed response to Covid from the very beginning. The models presumed that, because SC-2 was supposedly 'novel', the human immune system of everyone would completely fail to recognise it and so mount any immune response based on prior immunity. Ferguson's ludicrous model projections were based on a homogeneous population where everybody was equally susceptible to the virus. Witless and Unbalanced 'sagely' reminded us that this was the case, week after week, in their gloomy prognostications presided over by Pol Pot Belly in Downing Street. It wasn't true. They lied. Age and general health influenced greatly who became infected and ill, thus able to spread the disease. Asymptomatic infection was NOT a major facet of transmission. Prior immunity from exposure to other, similar pathogens existed and this varied across populations and nationalities.
With a heterogeneous population, the herd immunity threshold was nothing like the 60-70% quoted by Witless and Unbalanced. It was more like 40%. There was never any need to lock everybody in their homes or adopt any of the other ridiculous non-pharmaceutical interventions. All that was needed was to take reasonable measures to protect the vulnerable AND ensure they had access to early intervention medication (The Great Barrington Declaration). Instead, they banned and discredited the early intervention medications, killed people with lethally ineffective medical interventions and claimed that the only way to 'safely' reach the fake herd immunity threshold of 80-90% (it kept going up) was to inject everyone with a novel experimental 'vaccine'. The rest is history and a very, very unpleasant present.
Excellent summary. Well presented and laid out.
I think the real questions may be Is there any actual evidence that "Public Health" is serving the greater good generally? And do they have any intention to?
Could you please site the scientific literature that an influenza like particle causes COVID-19?
I am a physician with a background in molecular biology, epidemiology and infectious disease prevention. I have not been able to find any proof that I fully sequenced SARS Cov2 virus has ever been isolated from any individual said to suffer from the non specific syndrome known as Covid19.
Please don’t waste your, my or your reader’s time by citing PCR positivity for an silico (imaginary) computer generated “viron.”
Here's some data for you.
Two adults.
1. Dementia
2. Bronchiectasis, asthma, menopausal hot flushes leading to very poor sleep.
Both over 60 years of age.
Unvaccinated.
Covid September 2021
No post virual symptoms. Both back to pre covid health.
9 day illness
Both pretty ill.
It is clear to me how people in care homes would have died. Sick people need constant care. I had to nurse my very sick dementia covid husband constantly, night and day, even though I was also unwell (couldn't stand at times so crawling around to get the care needed done). I believe he would have likely died of thirst and a pneumonia without my constant attentive care.
You Jo helped me to be wary of what was going on from an early stage.
I never ever at any point expected others be locked down, restricted or anything else for that matter to 'save me'. How dreadful.
Bless you for all your efforts.
Thank you for the comprehensive analysis and clear explanation.
Dear Joel thank you ever so much for your diligent analysis and the presentation of your work on Substack. I was wondering if you have ever looked at birth rates? This would be extremely interesting. In particular is there (1) any signal that birthdate around the World changed as a consequence of the NPI measures put in place and (2) changed after “vaccine” rollout? Thanks again
First off thanks for all your amazing work on everything.
Secondly, you likely already know this, Pueyo is completely bought off.
Now to your points:
1) People die.
Yes they do.
On Edit: I'll add that while people die they are also killed- big difference between these two positions.
All analysis of "Covid-19" flows from the understanding that it was the latter that were are speaking of not a natural or "lab induced" epidemiological event. If that is not one's baseline position than all further threads of analysis will be mistaken right from the start.
2) People die more frequently at certain times of the year.
Yep
3) Periods of higher mortality are typically associated with the prevalence of influenza-like pathogens (ILPs).
Categorization of ILP's is fungible and up for grabs.
4) ILPs are present all year round but may lie dormant in some hosts, reactivated at certain times when their immune systems are relatively weak.
Many, many other factors involved.
5) ILPs impact the population (in terms of infections and illness) as a constant battle with the host population’s immune system (to fight off infection and disease progression) and their metabolic health.
Same as 3 and 4.
6) The battle between ILPs varies mainly due to variation in levels of immunity of the host, and to a lesser extent due to variation in pathogenicity of the ILP.
Same as 3,4, and 5. Import of pathogencitiy of ILP is questionsable at best.
7) Immunity levels are a function of multiple factors but they are all related to age, general (metabolic) health of the host, the physical environment.
Yep.
8) COVID exists (but isn’t really novel).
"Covid" is nothing more than a nebulous variety of common disease symptoms in the presence of a fraudulent PCR result none of which have ever been proven to be caused or transmitted by a specific microbe.
9) The virus that causes COVID (SARS-CoV-2) was re-engineered in a lab to make it more infectious (the latter part being its only novelty).
Even if it was the case you have to believe some of the most preposterous things to think this "GOF virus" was "more infectious."
10) It is impossible to suppress the spread of a respiratory pathogen to the extent that community spread has a positive impact on severe outcomes, including death without total isolation of every member of society. thus, I acknowledge the theory of transmission.
Yet to be proven nor relevant to this issue.
11) If COVID had been treated like all other ILPs (anti-virals, nutraceuticals, social care), the overall excess mortality would not have been unusual.
Yep- except COVID is a fiction- all of it. This also somewhat contradicts point #9.
12) Excessive spikes in excess mortality are due to a myriad of causes, substantially how the vulnerable/susceptible are treated (or not!), and not as a function of the amount of ILP circulating in the community (although some has to be present, which it always is).
People were murdered by policies.
13) Excess, non-COVID mortality arises directly from futile interventions designed to mitigate the spread of the ILP, including disruption to healthcare provision and inappropriate medical treatment.
You would be hard pressed to find a single "Covid death" anywhere in the world even if you believed Covid was "a thing."
The interventions weren't "futile" they were orchestrated criminal actions. Suggesting they were "futile" implies (falsely) that the parties who imposed the interventions were acting in good faith.
14) The mRNA “vaccine” is not Safe or Effective™.
There is nothing for these injections to be "effective" against. The perps don't care as they are the most profitable medical items in history and that was/is their intended function.
Dear Joel,
you are a godsend to us, the people who are not good at reading dozens of stats and coming up with a conclusion. I am sending this post to my son, who is a statistician but has bought into the 'official narrative' and just got his fourth jab. I worry about him, on many levels...thank you for doing this vital research.
Thank you for applying your talent and expertise to hard work and sharing your findings and theories. You have made such a positive contribution to countering the confusion.
Great summary, thank you. I love a numbered list! I just want you to know that I read everything you write even if I haven't commented before or rarely "click through" from the email. Your efforts here are hugely appreciated.
I would love to hear a full-on discussion between you and Mathew Crawford. It would be electric.
"What’s truly incredible is that any of this needs saying. I can still clearly recollect Covidians arguing that it was not easier to protect the vulnerable (who were already mainly corralled in hospitals and care homes anyway) who numbered no more than 2% of the population, than it was to shut down the other 98%."
----------
And as a bonus, we were still unable to keep the virus out of nursing homes and jails, where we can much more easily control who comes and goes. If we can't keep the bug out of THOSE places, what chance do we have to keep it out of the population?
Zero.
This has been obvious since April 2020.
Very interesting!
I remember the Private Eye magazine doctor saying how dangerous it had been of Boris Johnson to suggest we all just carry on as normal because apparently the British public were far too fat/ill/unhealthy to manage not to die before herd immunity was reached. Arrogant twat thinking that humanity couldn't cope with a coronavirus! Even if it had been fiddled with in Wuhan, it was clear that it wasn't killing "normal" people - just like ILPs normally don't kill "normal" people. As for the idea that it was somehow unfair on the elderly/sick/compromised if they were protected whilst the rest of us just got on with life! Wonder if anyone asked the care home residents who generally live in virtual prisons anyway whether they wanted their grandkids locked away from them.
Sadly Joel, you are still only preaching to the converted aren't you? Unless you can get the BBC to discuss your findings the brainwashed Covidian idiots who have "put it all behind them" aren't going to have to face up to what they've done.
Precisely. How come many of us could foresee this from the very beginning?
Thank you for a comprehensive analysis.
Such common sense. Appreciate your providing it to all without charge. I live in Southern Utah.