I had a look at the data for 0->1 year old mortality. It is difficult to find anything because relevant data on births will not be published until July 2022, and later. There are already some questions though.
In terms of herd immunity, we probably got to a transient community immunity of 15% by summer 2020, helped greatly by the warm weather. This is when Johnson made masks mandatory in shops, when Covid had disappeared! The disease, being seasonal, came back in autumn 2020 and took off again, especially as kids went back to school and students returned to university. We quickly got to the actual herd immunity threshold of 40% by December and infections and deaths started heading downwards. Thereafter, Covid would have become a stable endemic seasonally recurring disease. But then the elderly got jabbed and they started dying in large numbers. Then the government and NHS began jabbing anything that moved on two legs and the course of the Covid pandemic in the UK was radically and permanently altered. Omicron may not be the last throw of the dice, as Geert Vanden Bossche keeps ominously warning.
Rob, it's the herd immunity threshold which is crucial. For SC-2, without 'vaccines', it was probably achievable with approximately 40% of the populace exposed to the virus. This is precisely because the population is not homogeneous, i.e. not everyone is equally vulnerable to infection with SC-2 because of pre-existing/cross immunity to other coronaviruses. The lie we were fed is that herd immunity could only be achieved with 70-80% infected because SC-2 was totally novel and nobody had prior immunity. Then they compounded the lie by telling us that mass vaccination was the only 'safe' way to reach this very high herd immunity threshold. As it turned out, they made it impossible to achieve herd immunity, either by vaccination or via natural infections. With over a billion people having been injected as many as four times in just a year, many countries having stabbed 80% or more of adults and STILL coming for ever younger children, this ranks as the most colossal, monstrous crime ever committed against humanity and the worst medical scandal in history.
Yes: agree with the premise, but take issue with the last sentence, which is mere hyperbole.
I don;'t think this compares with the Holocaust, or Stalin, or Pol Pot: mainly because I genuinely believe that however stupid and flustered, nearly all of the main actors were acting in 'good faith' they genuinely believed in their own flatulent and overblown hypotheses.
Furthermore, the real cost and damage of the grotesque overreaction is still somewhat speculative at this stage: I'm keeping a very cool head.
I'm hoping that the vaccine damage is limited to a few million people: but I admit I do not know how many excess deaths and injuries it will cause: I'm an optimist, and I hope they are few, not many.
"I don't think this compares with the Holocaust, or Stalin, or Pol Pot: mainly because I genuinely believe that however stupid and flustered, nearly all of the main actors were acting in 'good faith' they genuinely believed in their own flatulent and overblown hypotheses."
It's not about belief, it's about facts and evidence and the facts and evidence, far from being 'mere hyperbole', point firmly to malign intent. They do not support the good faith hypothesis. Many, if not all, of the main actors in this drama, demonstrably acted in bad faith. This is not a conspiracy theory anymore, or mere hyperbole, it is the mainstream view, as here stated simply by Igor Chudov:
"Covid Criminals
The entirety of the last two years was dominated by the Covid pandemic. This pandemic also brought to us an unprecedented amount of officially propagated lies and manipulation, and all-reaching censorship needed to sustain these lies. The purpose of these lies was to make us take a radically novel “Covid vaccine”, based on mRNA technology that had no successful product in its 20+ year history, developed for a novel coronavirus, although no vaccine of any kind ever worked for any coronavirus."
In the idiocracy we’re currently living in politicians and get double vaxed, boosted, catch covid, then thank the vax even though this data and similar evidence is everywhere. Idiocracy too strong? Consider the current line of succession. Biden, Harris, Pelosi
People will say it's because of the variants, but it is because a successful respiratory virus vaccine has NEVER been invented, and that is still the case. So, people decide to inject synthetic genetic material into their body, that overcomes their cells natural defenses so they're very body produces a synthetic form of the most toxic part of a virus... huh??!!
A combination of bed clearing in hospitals into nursing homes (from "hospital clusters", to protect the vulnerable), a spike in midazolam use, and a belief in forced ventilation of patients probably was a bad idea.
Of Course the Nightingale Hospitals saved many lives!
Exactly. There is no evidence of a phantom virus in the lab, in people or in the data. If it was for us pesky kids unmasking the janitor being scary with a white sheet/a projector/ some phosphorescence he'd still be getting away with it.
If I'm 85, and the median age of death in my region or culture is 85, and I get run over by a truck or get pneumonia and die, the life-years lost is zero.
If I'm 25 and I suffer a similar fate, LYL is 60.
Same LYL if I have no chance of being killed by The World's Deadliest Virus™, but still shit my pants over it because the TV and my Facebook friends tell me to, and thus run out to get an experimental, unapproved mRNA "vaccine", and die of a blood clot/heart attack/stroke.
Almost. Life expectancy varies by age. Not everyone is expected to die at the median or average life expectancy. An easy way to understand it is what happens when you get to that point? Is your life expectancy 0? No, it is never 0 based on your age alone.
Thanks for this, Joel! And congrats on your second Twitter gold medal.
I'm in England for a bit, as they now allow the Unclean into this green and pleasant land. Gimme a holler if you find yourself in Somerset -- I certainly owe you a pint, as do we all.
I would say it's not so much a comparison with other years. It's more that if you're old and get hit by a meteorite it's one thing; but if you're young it's quite another, a much greater loss of time on-planet.
Nice analysis. It's a pity we don't have the LYL due to COVID.
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/ shows that for the whole of UK the cumulative covid deaths had already reached a plateau by 21 May 2021 and that from 21 May to 25 Mar 2022 there were about 37,000 covid deaths. Your data shows over 370,000 LYL for that period.
Isn't that amazing, that the median age of death is higher than the normal death rate! I recently looked at just the average death rate here in the US - before Omicron it was 77, and the average death rate from the past 10 years was 78. That's a pretty mild virus if you ask me.
I made an error - median age of death for covid was just BELOW the median age of death 2018-2020. None the less it is still amazing that the age of death from Covid should be so close to the all cause age of death
I made a small error - median age of death 2018-2020 was 82.3 for males, 85.8 for females, so the figure of 83 for covid deaths was just below the median
Hmm: to prove that supposition 5 is correct, you would perhaps need to demonstrate a break down by age band and cause of death. In other words, the age profile should be more widely distributed and the increase focused on vaccine-linked Causes.
Your analysis is not quite correct. What you are showing is a cumulative graph, so the rather flat profile during summer 2021 is not showing a dramatic increase in deaths. The reason it’s higher than at the end of the epidemic in late 2020 is because the vaccine deaths in early 2021 took it up to that level. However, the steady rise from late summer to winter 2021 is undoubtedly an indication of vaccine deaths probably due to everyone meekly getting their 2nd doses or booster shots. I recommend that you peruse the Euromomo dynamic charts which very clearly show rising death rates all over Europe. If Steve Kirsch is to be believed, the vaccines could well kill over 2 million people, many of them under 50 who would never have succumbed to Covid anyway
It’s an attempt to prove the unprovable. I think they kept the con going long enough we got all the politicians to take the jab. Now how do we activate this 5g thing?
The COVID cure IS the disease. I found it very helpful to get my head around how they invented HIV and AIDS to understand the establishments perfidy in relation to covid. I heartily recommend AIDS,Opium, Diamonds and Empire by Nancy Turner Banks. Firstly there's no evidence that HIV is sexually transmitted as appears to be correlated only with passive anal sex. It also can't be transferred through blood products as these are from multiple patients, days or weeks old etc. The EM images are unconvincing and contradictory. The proteins, eg p24 produced by cells under stress, used in the test are said to be specific to HIV, are demonstrably not. The use of poppers, other drugs and poor nutrition was common to all in the first small group of homosexual men, all of which produce symptoms of AIDS. Highly toxic AZT given on a positive test result produces more severe symptoms and death from AIDS. Symptoms alone all that's required in Africa for an AIDS diagnosis in malnourished, impoverished men exposed to dust and other toxins working in cheaply and poorly run gold and diamond mines, demand for AZT was thus deliberately created. The pharmaceutical- political- regulatory complex and their fraud and hold over us runs deep, deep, deep.
"Doctors are men who prescribe medicines of which they know little, to cure diseases of which they know less, in human beings of whom they know nothing." Voltaire. The covid vaccines are the tip of the iceberg. The whole of allopathic medicine is based on misunderstanding, lies and fraud.
I heard this analogy from David Parker yesterday. People seem to get more presents in the winter. The burden of proof is with those who claim that only Santa is bringing them.
I guess stillbirths were not taken into these calculations.
Their loss adds a lot of life years, and they should be easily mapped to when vaccination during child bearing years occurred.
I had a look at the data for 0->1 year old mortality. It is difficult to find anything because relevant data on births will not be published until July 2022, and later. There are already some questions though.
I wonder if the data on miscarriages would reflect this in any meaningful way?
In terms of herd immunity, we probably got to a transient community immunity of 15% by summer 2020, helped greatly by the warm weather. This is when Johnson made masks mandatory in shops, when Covid had disappeared! The disease, being seasonal, came back in autumn 2020 and took off again, especially as kids went back to school and students returned to university. We quickly got to the actual herd immunity threshold of 40% by December and infections and deaths started heading downwards. Thereafter, Covid would have become a stable endemic seasonally recurring disease. But then the elderly got jabbed and they started dying in large numbers. Then the government and NHS began jabbing anything that moved on two legs and the course of the Covid pandemic in the UK was radically and permanently altered. Omicron may not be the last throw of the dice, as Geert Vanden Bossche keeps ominously warning.
I think we probably started 2020 with 75% or so herd immunity -due to previous exposures to related viruses. (see Diamond Princess)
Rob, it's the herd immunity threshold which is crucial. For SC-2, without 'vaccines', it was probably achievable with approximately 40% of the populace exposed to the virus. This is precisely because the population is not homogeneous, i.e. not everyone is equally vulnerable to infection with SC-2 because of pre-existing/cross immunity to other coronaviruses. The lie we were fed is that herd immunity could only be achieved with 70-80% infected because SC-2 was totally novel and nobody had prior immunity. Then they compounded the lie by telling us that mass vaccination was the only 'safe' way to reach this very high herd immunity threshold. As it turned out, they made it impossible to achieve herd immunity, either by vaccination or via natural infections. With over a billion people having been injected as many as four times in just a year, many countries having stabbed 80% or more of adults and STILL coming for ever younger children, this ranks as the most colossal, monstrous crime ever committed against humanity and the worst medical scandal in history.
Yes: agree with the premise, but take issue with the last sentence, which is mere hyperbole.
I don;'t think this compares with the Holocaust, or Stalin, or Pol Pot: mainly because I genuinely believe that however stupid and flustered, nearly all of the main actors were acting in 'good faith' they genuinely believed in their own flatulent and overblown hypotheses.
Furthermore, the real cost and damage of the grotesque overreaction is still somewhat speculative at this stage: I'm keeping a very cool head.
I'm hoping that the vaccine damage is limited to a few million people: but I admit I do not know how many excess deaths and injuries it will cause: I'm an optimist, and I hope they are few, not many.
Rob,
You say:
"I don't think this compares with the Holocaust, or Stalin, or Pol Pot: mainly because I genuinely believe that however stupid and flustered, nearly all of the main actors were acting in 'good faith' they genuinely believed in their own flatulent and overblown hypotheses."
It's not about belief, it's about facts and evidence and the facts and evidence, far from being 'mere hyperbole', point firmly to malign intent. They do not support the good faith hypothesis. Many, if not all, of the main actors in this drama, demonstrably acted in bad faith. This is not a conspiracy theory anymore, or mere hyperbole, it is the mainstream view, as here stated simply by Igor Chudov:
"Covid Criminals
The entirety of the last two years was dominated by the Covid pandemic. This pandemic also brought to us an unprecedented amount of officially propagated lies and manipulation, and all-reaching censorship needed to sustain these lies. The purpose of these lies was to make us take a radically novel “Covid vaccine”, based on mRNA technology that had no successful product in its 20+ year history, developed for a novel coronavirus, although no vaccine of any kind ever worked for any coronavirus."
https://igorchudov.substack.com/p/free-speech-threatens-the-entire?s=r
In the idiocracy we’re currently living in politicians and get double vaxed, boosted, catch covid, then thank the vax even though this data and similar evidence is everywhere. Idiocracy too strong? Consider the current line of succession. Biden, Harris, Pelosi
Excellent, easy to see in picture form. 👍🏽
People will say it's because of the variants, but it is because a successful respiratory virus vaccine has NEVER been invented, and that is still the case. So, people decide to inject synthetic genetic material into their body, that overcomes their cells natural defenses so they're very body produces a synthetic form of the most toxic part of a virus... huh??!!
Because science! *goofy face
Those deaths in spring 2020 are also extremely suspicious.
A combination of bed clearing in hospitals into nursing homes (from "hospital clusters", to protect the vulnerable), a spike in midazolam use, and a belief in forced ventilation of patients probably was a bad idea.
Of Course the Nightingale Hospitals saved many lives!
Exactly. There is no evidence of a phantom virus in the lab, in people or in the data. If it was for us pesky kids unmasking the janitor being scary with a white sheet/a projector/ some phosphorescence he'd still be getting away with it.
Life Years Lost definition, please 🤔
Quick, incomplete, possibly inaccurate answer:
If I'm 85, and the median age of death in my region or culture is 85, and I get run over by a truck or get pneumonia and die, the life-years lost is zero.
If I'm 25 and I suffer a similar fate, LYL is 60.
Same LYL if I have no chance of being killed by The World's Deadliest Virus™, but still shit my pants over it because the TV and my Facebook friends tell me to, and thus run out to get an experimental, unapproved mRNA "vaccine", and die of a blood clot/heart attack/stroke.
Almost. Life expectancy varies by age. Not everyone is expected to die at the median or average life expectancy. An easy way to understand it is what happens when you get to that point? Is your life expectancy 0? No, it is never 0 based on your age alone.
Thanks for this, Joel! And congrats on your second Twitter gold medal.
I'm in England for a bit, as they now allow the Unclean into this green and pleasant land. Gimme a holler if you find yourself in Somerset -- I certainly owe you a pint, as do we all.
I get it... Basically, "unnecessary, unexpected" deaths compared to other years in total?
I would say it's not so much a comparison with other years. It's more that if you're old and get hit by a meteorite it's one thing; but if you're young it's quite another, a much greater loss of time on-planet.
👍👍
Nice analysis. It's a pity we don't have the LYL due to COVID.
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/ shows that for the whole of UK the cumulative covid deaths had already reached a plateau by 21 May 2021 and that from 21 May to 25 Mar 2022 there were about 37,000 covid deaths. Your data shows over 370,000 LYL for that period.
https://www.ons.gov.uk/aboutus/transparencyandgovernance/freedomofinformationfoi/averageageofthosewhohaddiedwithcovid19 published in January 2021 gives the median age of death from covid as 83, which is slightly higher than the median age of death 2018-2020
https://www.ons.gov.uk/aboutus/transparencyandgovernance/freedomofinformationfoi/deathsfromcovid19byageband published in January 2021 gives the covid deaths by age band which should enable an estimate of covid LYL to be made assuming that covid deaths in 2021-2022 follow the same pattern.
In the early days of Covid, those aged 90 or over numbered 636494 within the UK.
For England only it was 521067 (I'm unsure of the date)
The latest data (England only) is 460040. (Current ONS figure for potential vacinees)
Isn't that amazing, that the median age of death is higher than the normal death rate! I recently looked at just the average death rate here in the US - before Omicron it was 77, and the average death rate from the past 10 years was 78. That's a pretty mild virus if you ask me.
I made an error - median age of death for covid was just BELOW the median age of death 2018-2020. None the less it is still amazing that the age of death from Covid should be so close to the all cause age of death
I made a small error - median age of death 2018-2020 was 82.3 for males, 85.8 for females, so the figure of 83 for covid deaths was just below the median
26 march 21 - 21 may 21 seems to be missing in the table data
Indeed. There is nothing to report there as I said in the summary at the bottom.
Hmm: to prove that supposition 5 is correct, you would perhaps need to demonstrate a break down by age band and cause of death. In other words, the age profile should be more widely distributed and the increase focused on vaccine-linked Causes.
Your analysis is not quite correct. What you are showing is a cumulative graph, so the rather flat profile during summer 2021 is not showing a dramatic increase in deaths. The reason it’s higher than at the end of the epidemic in late 2020 is because the vaccine deaths in early 2021 took it up to that level. However, the steady rise from late summer to winter 2021 is undoubtedly an indication of vaccine deaths probably due to everyone meekly getting their 2nd doses or booster shots. I recommend that you peruse the Euromomo dynamic charts which very clearly show rising death rates all over Europe. If Steve Kirsch is to be believed, the vaccines could well kill over 2 million people, many of them under 50 who would never have succumbed to Covid anyway
It’s an attempt to prove the unprovable. I think they kept the con going long enough we got all the politicians to take the jab. Now how do we activate this 5g thing?
Interesting thanks. Can you provide a link to the data please.
If we are following the same trend as last year, the graph should start flattening off now. If it doesn't we know something is wrong.
I wonder why it started rising again in July 2021 when it was flat in July 2020?!
The COVID cure IS the disease. I found it very helpful to get my head around how they invented HIV and AIDS to understand the establishments perfidy in relation to covid. I heartily recommend AIDS,Opium, Diamonds and Empire by Nancy Turner Banks. Firstly there's no evidence that HIV is sexually transmitted as appears to be correlated only with passive anal sex. It also can't be transferred through blood products as these are from multiple patients, days or weeks old etc. The EM images are unconvincing and contradictory. The proteins, eg p24 produced by cells under stress, used in the test are said to be specific to HIV, are demonstrably not. The use of poppers, other drugs and poor nutrition was common to all in the first small group of homosexual men, all of which produce symptoms of AIDS. Highly toxic AZT given on a positive test result produces more severe symptoms and death from AIDS. Symptoms alone all that's required in Africa for an AIDS diagnosis in malnourished, impoverished men exposed to dust and other toxins working in cheaply and poorly run gold and diamond mines, demand for AZT was thus deliberately created. The pharmaceutical- political- regulatory complex and their fraud and hold over us runs deep, deep, deep.
https://georgiedonny.substack.com/p/aids-opium-diamonds-and-empire-by?s=w
"Doctors are men who prescribe medicines of which they know little, to cure diseases of which they know less, in human beings of whom they know nothing." Voltaire. The covid vaccines are the tip of the iceberg. The whole of allopathic medicine is based on misunderstanding, lies and fraud.
I heard this analogy from David Parker yesterday. People seem to get more presents in the winter. The burden of proof is with those who claim that only Santa is bringing them.
Thank you Joel for doing this analysis and sharing it with the world. Such important findings.