Germany - Pandemic of the Vaccinated or Some Other Form of Democide?

Empirical analysis of deaths 2016 to 2021

Typically, Germany’s “death season” runs from mid-October to late April. It rises sharply through Feb and March and falls even more rapidly thereafter into May.

Germany’s COVID epidemic did not happen in spring 2020 like the rest of Europe to the west. According to other studies I have done the reason for this is clearly physical geography and season.

2019-20, COVID “epidemic” season, was soft by recent standards even after an even softer 2018-19 and COVID played a minor role in all-cause, seasonal excess mortality, coming at the end of the season¹.

Interventions clearly played no part in mitigating COVID mortality. How can we be sure? Because the same measures were repeated in winter 2020-21 and yet there was 10 times as much COVID death. If COVID death were like house-buying, the agents would be shouting “season, season, season” instead of “location, location, location”!

Interestingly though, there is substantially more excess death than can be due to COVID since autumn 2020. Either there was some other seasonal pathogen doing the rounds unnoticed by health authorities due to the myopic focus on COVID or perhaps it was already the impact of any detrimental outcomes of COVID policies.

It is also noticeable that COVID deaths exhibit a triple peak in winter and an entriely new distribution in spring, concomitant with mass vaccinations, a pattern which is so ubiquitous now across the world we can stop with the correlation ≠ causation nonsense.

As a result of seasonal COVID and vaccine-induced COVID, Germany suffered a massive 126k excess deaths in 2020-21, even dwarfing 2017-18’s relatively meagre 79k.

So far in 2021-22, things have gotten off to a pretty awful start too. It is clear that this is not due to COVID. In spite of there being more than 40% more COVID deaths 2-Sep to 25-Nov this year compared to last (8.4k vs 6k), COVID does not even account for one-fifth of the total excess deaths of 31k.

Looking at the last 3 years for the period 2-Sep to 25-Nov, the current season is running at 249k deaths compared to last year’s 237k and 226k the year before that.

COVID itself doesn’t seem to have produced any more deaths than Germany would expect to experience in any mortality season. So much for the COVID epidemic. The extra excess deaths look more like they come from policy response in my opinion.

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Never one to speculate when there is empirical data available to analyse, let’s take a look at deaths in each age group to see if we can get a clearer picture of who is dying in 2021 and perhaps an indication of why?

My first observation is there is something persistently odd about the 45-55 year olds and 75-80 year olds. They are all substantially lower than the baseline set by 2016 to 2019 levels.

The 75-80 year olds were born during the war (poignant reference for what is happening right now) so there are some obvious reasons why there would be fewer of that group now compared to prior years and that would explain why there are fewer deaths now.

Someone will have to help me explain what happened in the 70’s to account for the low levels of circa 50 year olds though because I was only a wee bairn then myself.

Nevertheless, the relative patterns across the 3 time periods, 52 weeks to 26-Aug 2020 and 2021, and 13 weeks to 25-Nov-21, are quite apparent. Mortality has gotten progressively worse across almost all ages over 30.

As much as we can already deduce that COVID is not the reason, my favourite principle - Occam’s Razor, suggests we have to look at the COVID vaccination for the cause of this, if not the damaging impacts of all the COVID interventions?

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Thankfully, the under 30s have not suffered at all during COVID times in Germany in terms of death. For both 2019-20 and 2020-21 deaths have run lower than 2 standard deviations below the average of 2016 to 2019. 2021-22 is the highest of the 3 years to date but still below expectations.

30-35 year olds in Germany die at a predictable rate every year and 2019 to 2021 was no different. As with the under 30s though, things are getting a little higher in 2021-22.

For the 35-40 year olds 2019 to 2021 have been running at the top of 2 standard deviations above average but with no obvious inflections that might signify a particular event. This is with the exception of 2021-22 where there is a clear jump mid-Sept to end of Oct. Some of those deaths appear to be pulled forward by a couple of months but the excess is persisting, suggesting some maybe would not have occurred.

Things are becoming more apparent for the 40 to 45 year olds. 2019-20, COVID epidemic year shows little deviation from expectations but things begin to take off first half of Dec-20 (coincidentally when mass vaccination starts?) and then accelerate again mid-April. 2021-22 has started worse still with an obvious inflection on 4-Nov-21.

Not only are the 45-50s and 50-55s lower than expected, the rates across all three periods are really consistent too. Is there something we can all learn from these early Generation X’s?! They seem to know a thing or two about staying alive in an epidemic. Are we somehow immune to the propaganda having seen it all in advance on the telly?

Alas, the same cannot be said for the 55 to 75 year olds. Having pretty much dodged the COVID bullet first time around, they are dying in droves since it reappeared in the autumn and then even more so after Xmas “despite” the vaccine protection. Again, this season has gotten off to a truly horrendous start for this cohort.

Much like the Gen X lot, those war babies seem to know something that others don’t, showing the same counter pattern in death progression?

And so finally to the over 80s, the only ones really at any risk of dying from COVID, avoided it in the tail end of spring but apparently succumbed the following winter “despite” the vaccine that is up to 95% effective in reducing COVID mortality.

Well, evidently COVID mortality is 40% higher than the same period last year when there were no COVID vaccines at all AND all-cause mortality in the over 80s is 24% higher than average and 9% higher than last year.

Does that mean it’s working?

Does anyone in public health actually look at the data? There is a deadly pandemic in Germany. It’s not COVID. It never really was. More people are dying of all things since the COVID vaccine was administered. And what to the German policymakers do? They punish those who didn’t take the shot.

Is this sheer ignorance or is there something more sinister afoot?

1. All data courtesy of https://www.destatis.de/DE/Themen/Gesellschaft-Umwelt/Bevoelkerung/Sterbefaelle-Lebenserwartung/Tabellen/sonderauswertung-sterbefaelle.html?nn=23768. Analysis my own.