Life-Years Lost, USA Edition

More life-years lost since mass vaccination started compared to before.

US life-years lost (LYL) typically has a single peak in either Jan or March. In Feb-20, LYL did not decline as it usually does, indicating that COVID was already having an impact. However, LYL really took off when experimental interventions like lockdowns were enacted in late March.

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Looking at excess LYL for 2020 and 2021, it is apparent that LYL is substantially higher after mass vaccination for COVID. It is also apparent that the winter 2020 COVID mortality is waning before a second, unexpected peak occurs a couple of weeks after mass vaccination starts. Even more peculiar is that the single highest period of LYL is summer 2021 which is normally a low point.

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We would expect cumulative excess LYL to rise and fall and perhaps even eventually tend back towards zero to account for the fact that premature deaths are “pulled forward” from later periods. There should be a future deficit to account for this. However, there is no period of negative excess.

In fact, there have been 18 million LYL in the post-vax period compared to just 16 million prior, the period that includes epidemic COVID.

It is an indisputable fact that there are more LYL in the post-vax period. This is likely due to the vaccine itself which is known to exacerbate COVID itself as well as causing mortal harm directly, and due to the knock-on effects of disruption to the healthcare system and citizens’ health as a result of government COVID policies.

It ain't over yet, McGavin. The way I see it, we've only just begun.

Happy Gilmore (1996)