Gosh but you're sooooo out of date! The narrative has moved on, through Ukraine valiantly fighting for our democracy to Joe Biden and his creepiness to Inflation! and Energy Prices! to NetZero! to Climate Catastrophe. We're all going to die from sunshine!!!! Which will explain all the excess deaths currently going on. Nobody's got the time to deal with excess deaths caused by reactions to a cold virus when the planet is burning and the wrong sort of people keep using cars and aeroplanes and gas boilers. (of course, it means that people can keep dying and nobody will be held accountable but, hey, Bill Gates made some money so...)
Along with the cows breaking wind - double whammy inasmuch as they destroy the planet whilst alive and then destroy it again when used as toppings for pizzas.
This is going to play out over years. Pfizer and the other prifiteers will be counting their money. POTUS--in the U.S.--and whatever the appropriate functionary is in other countries, will be out on the lecture circuit, getting paid to speak. The shitheads won, for better or worse, for now. Hopefully, with your continued presentation of this type of insight, we can prevent subsequent dumpster fires.
The initial spike in deaths attributed to covid had chuff all to do with a virus and everything to do with the measures the government imposed as their response to the claim of a virus.
If no pandemic had been declared nothing out of theordinary would have happened and everything would have carried on as normal.
Jul 19, 2023·edited Jul 19, 2023Liked by Joel Smalley
Hi Joel, I suspected it was you. The ONS haven't lowered themselves to tell me that the data I paid for has now been published. I've been figuratively tearing my hair out over these figures. See this link :
"Distrusting the Data" ......which has errors of the order of 17% for the 20-24 year olds and attempts to show that more died in England than in England and Wales Combined!
No worries on the loss. What goes around comes around.
Great article BTW, I've been struggling to understand what the ONS is telling me, beyond "don't ask us about the data, we just publish what we are given."
At one time that process worked well enough. Not now. Not now when vested interests can whip up a plandemic at a moment's notice.
Pro Tip : We now know that the ONS is getting a drip feed of coroners reports on suspicious deaths and that makes for a variable data window six to eighteen months late for some aged 50 and under.
@01:00:00 Ed Dowd's inside track suggests that things are getting worse. In May it broke to a slight new high. Something is re-accelerating. Panic meetings re insurance. +24% excess deaths in the 25-40 age group.
We are being lied to.
A national security concern.
UK data @01:08:00
Disability catastrophe in 2022. Numbers close to double pre-plandemic.
"If you don't address this your pension system will go broke"
USA : FOIA requests for equivalents to data provided by UK.
UK Cancers +15 standard deviations.
@01:17:30
Global economic collapse. Healthcare will become scarce. Productivity will drop. Deflation is coming. Demand will fall.
War as a distraction.
Aside :
I'm hearing that some US Hospitals are headed for bankruptcy after plandemic support was withdrawn and they could not continue paying high salaries to temps to fill staff shortages.
I think the question is about how much the once respectable ONS has been damaged, whether it's by malice or not. The change that we've witnessed across our formerly honourable institutions, ONS included, is subtle and I believe involves a mild level of 'blinkered incompetence' perhaps in support of some ideology or narrative.
People in such organisations instinctively do 'what's right'. In this case the 'right' thing seems to have been to encourage the narrative that more of the population was willingly vaccinated than was actually the case. That a lack of rigour may also lead to occasional howlers seems not to bother anyone in these agencies - until the mainstream media get hold of it!
In the longer term, the reputation of these agencies is at stake. We are all the worse off if there's a general loss in trust between the public and the public agencies.
Hi Joel, I will read this later. I want to again thank you for everything you have done over the last 3 years. I am the person who said hello to you at the vaccine injures event in London earlier in the year. I could have talked to you and Norman Fenton for hours that evening.
Jul 19, 2023·edited Jul 19, 2023Liked by Joel Smalley
Very good Joel !
''the “unexpected” death count continues to outpace the coroner’s ability to process them all.''
It could also mean this is part of the long game being played and that when the deaths do 'catch up' they can claim another pandemic etc ?
I still think it's VERY VALID to be using provided gov figures as those were the same ones used in 2020 to terrify us and pretty much all that is readilly available ! Back at you sort of thing !
I did a calculation of PYLL for Scotland when i was looking at lockdown-1 pregnancy terminations. This one event already outstripped all 'COVID' deaths for the whole of 2020.
''These additional pregnancy terminations during this lockdown period in 2020 would equate to approximately 51,000 PYLL (potential years of life lost) which very likely occured over just a 5 week period from March 23rd 2020 till the end of April.''
I find the only true purpose it serves is to continually highlight that incompetence of "authority". Once people wake up to this, the world will be a better place.
Excellent work Joel, so glad your in the world at this time.🙏
I think ypur 100% correct re the delay, but i also think we'll find that the data will blow out to 3-3.5years delay.
By the time we can pick apart what was was what clearly. The data has been fudged 6ways to Sunday, all over the globe, every institution and regulatory body, partially because we were collectively poor at keeping data properly. There aren't many "details orientated" data keepers anymore.🤦♀️🤷♀️🤗
How else could these be derived? Don't all deaths have to be certified by doctors as actual deaths? I guess these reports would be collated by RHA's? I have no clue. Judging by the number of ads for cremations, business is booming.
Funeral counts? Life Insurance pay out ratios - scalable for uninsured?
ONS relies on death certificates which are only produced after the coroner is done of they were referred to him. That's my assessment of their response.
Joel, I have to say I'm confused. Given that the average age of a covid death in the UK was higher than the average life expectancy, how do we see ANY impact of covid at all when measured in life-years lost? If anyone can shed light on this, I would be very grateful. Thanks!
C)- Sars-cov-2 was almost certainly a Gain of Function creation from government funded and government directed laboratories, then you get to inescapable conclusion that-
D) IT WAS 100,000% THE GOVERNMENTS that just killed and disabled and bankrupted and harmed millions and millions and millions of people all over the Earth.
Now the only question is- What Are We Going To Do About This!?!
Joel I’m pretty good at reading charts and don’t see you demonstrating the shot contributed to excess deaths due to a backlog of coroners entries. If you take the data and plot as date of death you should see the increase of deaths due to the shot. It appears there was an increase when the “virus” became epidemic and the same amount when the “vaccine” was introduced. But it’s really not evident it’s the shot that caused the death. I’m sure people would attribute this to the ie “delta” variant.
So all I think you proved was to not rely on the registration date to make an analysis.
Maybe I’m totally wrong and you should enlighten me.
Correct. I'm not making that claim. On the contrary, I'm disputing the claims of others that are. No claims can be made for the last 18 months due to missing data. That's the point.
Your plots for ages 30-39 and 40-49 show that there's a dip in deaths around December 19th 2020 before the big spike in January, which makes it seem like the spike only started at the dip. However the dip was preceded by a similar dip in PCR positivity rate and wastewater prevalence around 1-3 weeks earlier: https://i.ibb.co/gFhxYN2/england-uk-age-groups-pcr-wastewater.png. In your plots for age groups 30-39 and 40-49, there's so much noise in the data that it's not easy to see that deaths in the age groups had already been increasing since around September, but it's easier to see if you look at all age groups together so the curve is smoother.
According to OWID's data, the percentage of positive PCR tests in the UK remained below 1% from June 25th 2020 until September 5th 2020, and there was also negative excess mortality in the UK for several weeks in the summer of 2020. But then in September 2020, the percentage of positive PCR tests started to gradually increase around the same time when the excess deaths started to increase, and on January 4th 2021, the percentage of positive PCR tests peaked at around 13% on the same week when excess mortality peaked at about 46%: `wget https://covid.ourworldindata.org/data/owid-covid-data.csv;brew install csvtk;csvtk cut -flocation,date,new_deaths,positive_rate,excess_mortality,new_vaccinations owid-covid-data.csv|awk 'NR==1||/United Kingdom/'|csvtk pretty`.
So basically the gradual increase in excess deaths that peaked in January 2021 started a long before the jabs were rolled out.
Many other Western European countries also had a spike in excess mortality around November 2020, December 2020, or January 2020: https://i.ibb.co/M6K53W6/owid-heatmap-excess-mortality-new-vax-pcr-positivity.png. For example according to OWID's data, the excess mortality in Switzerland was 6% in October 2020, 57% in November 2020, 60% in December 2020, 23% in January 2021, and -10% in February 2021. So the peak was in December 2020, even though there were almost no vaccines given that month according to OWID's data. And the peak in monthly excess mortality was in November in Italy, France, and Belgium: https://i.ibb.co/nsjRJYZ/uk-france-belgium-italy.png.
The reason why COVID deaths shot up again may have been because they didn't just release the Wuhan strain but there was a program where subsubsequent variants of concern were also released deliberately, because if you look at variants of concern like Alpha, Delta, BA.1, and BA.2, they emerged in a genetic jump event where there were multiple new nonsynonymous mutations in the spike protein which appeared simultaneously out of nowhere, and if for example you compare the spike protein of XBB.1.5 to Wuhan-Hu-1, there's 40 nonsynonymous mutations but only a single synonymous mutation: https://metatron.substack.com/p/the-covid-vaccines-saved-millions/comment/18130194. But for example in the spike proteins of SARS1 samples, the ratio of nonsynonymous to synonymous mutations is typically around 1-2. And I think it's plausible that the vehicle for releasing the new strains were the vaccines: https://twitter.com/alexandrosM/status/1677100005772132354.
I don't know if the jabs saved lives, but they probably cost a lot of lives, because if you look at the statistics for ASMR per 100,000 person-years in England that were reported by the ONS, in the group labeled "First dose, at least 21 days ago", the ASMR increased from about 1,000 in March 2021 to about 6,400 in June 2021 during the period when the second jab was rolled out, and in the group labeled "Second dose, at least 6 months ago", the ASMR increased from about 1,100 in September 2021 to about 4,900 in January 2022 during the period when the third jab was rolled out: https://i.ibb.co/1rsHJTd/ons-asmr-vs-vaccination-status-group-size.png. So I think it's because they classified people as single-jabbed for 2 or 3 weeks after the second jab and as double-jabbed for 2 or 3 weeks after the third jab.
But anyway, if you compare the spikes in excess deaths in UK in spring 2020 and January 2020, the peak daily number of COVID cases was about 15 times bigger in January 2021 than in spring 2020, and the peak number of patients hospitalized for COVID was about twice as big. So if the excess deaths in spring 2020 were caused by the treatment protocols, and if the treatment protocols did not change that much between spring 2020 and January 2021, then how can you know that the deaths in January 2021 were caused by the vaccines and not by the treatment protocols? Or do people like you and Rancourt only need to invoke treatment protocols as a cause of death when the option of vaccines is not available to you?
According to OWID's data for the UK, the number of patients hospitalized for COVID had already increased from 721 on September 11th 2020 to 18,740 on December 18th 2020, which is an approximately 26-fold increase in 3 months. So since people were not yet vaccinated, what caused the increase? And cannot the same cause also explain the further increase to 38,824 hospitalized patients by January 18th 2020, when the size of the hospitalized population peaked according to OWID? Or if you decide to argue that the spike in hospitalizations in winter 2020-2021 was not caused by the vaccinations, then how can you know that the spike in excess deaths was caused by the vaccinations and not by some cause related to the increase in hospitalizations?
In your plot for ages 40-49, you made it seem like the spike in deaths in January 2021 started at the dip around December 19th 2020 which was highlighted in the plot. But actually the deaths had already been increasing since late August, and the dip in deaths in December was preceded by a similar dip in PCR positivity rate and wastewater prevalence, which should be even clearer from this plot: https://i.ibb.co/X8R9Fc6/england-december-2020-dip.png. And at the point when the jabs were rolled out, the percentage of positive PCR tests, wastewater prevalence, and the size of the hospitalized population had already been increasing for a few months.
A (real) journalist for The Washington Stand wrote a great summary of RFK Jr.’s remarks at the Congressional Hearing on Government Censorship. This is the hearing where 102 Democrats tried to prevent RFK, Jr. from speaking.
It’s a quick read that highlight’s Kennedy’s excellent remarks. I added a few of my own thoughts. This move will no doubt boomerang on the Censorship Industrial Complex. What those censors really did was throw ‘B’rer Rabbit into the briar patch.
One figure in the plot that stands out is that in October 2021, there was 30% excess mortality in the age group 10-19, compared to 0% the previous month and -9% the next month, even though mortality was not elevated in other age groups in October 2021. It may be because on September 20th 2021 the NHS published a press release titled "NHS rolls out COVID-19 jab to children aged 12 to 15", and 4 days later on September 24th 2021 the NHS published another press release titled "People aged 16 and 17 urged to get lifesaving COVID vaccine as NHS bookings open".
Oh dear. I get the feeling from this that the already worrying excess deaths could actually be worryingly higher thanks to, possibly deliberate, procedural delays?
Gosh but you're sooooo out of date! The narrative has moved on, through Ukraine valiantly fighting for our democracy to Joe Biden and his creepiness to Inflation! and Energy Prices! to NetZero! to Climate Catastrophe. We're all going to die from sunshine!!!! Which will explain all the excess deaths currently going on. Nobody's got the time to deal with excess deaths caused by reactions to a cold virus when the planet is burning and the wrong sort of people keep using cars and aeroplanes and gas boilers. (of course, it means that people can keep dying and nobody will be held accountable but, hey, Bill Gates made some money so...)
And don't forget the coal pizza ovens! A huge contribution to destroying the planet... ;-)
Along with the cows breaking wind - double whammy inasmuch as they destroy the planet whilst alive and then destroy it again when used as toppings for pizzas.
This is going to play out over years. Pfizer and the other prifiteers will be counting their money. POTUS--in the U.S.--and whatever the appropriate functionary is in other countries, will be out on the lecture circuit, getting paid to speak. The shitheads won, for better or worse, for now. Hopefully, with your continued presentation of this type of insight, we can prevent subsequent dumpster fires.
The initial spike in deaths attributed to covid had chuff all to do with a virus and everything to do with the measures the government imposed as their response to the claim of a virus.
If no pandemic had been declared nothing out of theordinary would have happened and everything would have carried on as normal.
JS - Just pile em up over there and we'll deal with it later. There is absolutely nothing to see here, unless one invokes Gibbs Rule 39.
LOL. Never heard of that so had to look it up. https://www.tvinsider.com/1024964/ncis-gibbs-rules/
Invoke corollary rule 39A as well "There is no such thing as a small world."
Hi Joel, I suspected it was you. The ONS haven't lowered themselves to tell me that the data I paid for has now been published. I've been figuratively tearing my hair out over these figures. See this link :
https://richarda697.substack.com/p/bioweapon_modelling_part_5
"Distrusting the Data" ......which has errors of the order of 17% for the 20-24 year olds and attempts to show that more died in England than in England and Wales Combined!
Way to go!
I'm sorry for your loss!
No worries on the loss. What goes around comes around.
Great article BTW, I've been struggling to understand what the ONS is telling me, beyond "don't ask us about the data, we just publish what we are given."
At one time that process worked well enough. Not now. Not now when vested interests can whip up a plandemic at a moment's notice.
https://thehighwire.com/watch/ >>> Episode 330 Collateral Damage
Pro Tip : We now know that the ONS is getting a drip feed of coroners reports on suspicious deaths and that makes for a variable data window six to eighteen months late for some aged 50 and under.
https://metatron.substack.com/p/nothing-to-see-here
And back to Ed Dowd and Del Bigtree.
@01:00:00 Ed Dowd's inside track suggests that things are getting worse. In May it broke to a slight new high. Something is re-accelerating. Panic meetings re insurance. +24% excess deaths in the 25-40 age group.
We are being lied to.
A national security concern.
UK data @01:08:00
Disability catastrophe in 2022. Numbers close to double pre-plandemic.
"If you don't address this your pension system will go broke"
USA : FOIA requests for equivalents to data provided by UK.
UK Cancers +15 standard deviations.
@01:17:30
Global economic collapse. Healthcare will become scarce. Productivity will drop. Deflation is coming. Demand will fall.
War as a distraction.
Aside :
I'm hearing that some US Hospitals are headed for bankruptcy after plandemic support was withdrawn and they could not continue paying high salaries to temps to fill staff shortages.
Looks like we can now coin the phrase "there's lies, damn lies, statistics ... and the ONS".
I would not be too hard on the ONS. I doubt there is malice involved there.
I think the question is about how much the once respectable ONS has been damaged, whether it's by malice or not. The change that we've witnessed across our formerly honourable institutions, ONS included, is subtle and I believe involves a mild level of 'blinkered incompetence' perhaps in support of some ideology or narrative.
People in such organisations instinctively do 'what's right'. In this case the 'right' thing seems to have been to encourage the narrative that more of the population was willingly vaccinated than was actually the case. That a lack of rigour may also lead to occasional howlers seems not to bother anyone in these agencies - until the mainstream media get hold of it!
In the longer term, the reputation of these agencies is at stake. We are all the worse off if there's a general loss in trust between the public and the public agencies.
Hi Joel, I will read this later. I want to again thank you for everything you have done over the last 3 years. I am the person who said hello to you at the vaccine injures event in London earlier in the year. I could have talked to you and Norman Fenton for hours that evening.
Very good Joel !
''the “unexpected” death count continues to outpace the coroner’s ability to process them all.''
It could also mean this is part of the long game being played and that when the deaths do 'catch up' they can claim another pandemic etc ?
I still think it's VERY VALID to be using provided gov figures as those were the same ones used in 2020 to terrify us and pretty much all that is readilly available ! Back at you sort of thing !
I did a calculation of PYLL for Scotland when i was looking at lockdown-1 pregnancy terminations. This one event already outstripped all 'COVID' deaths for the whole of 2020.
''These additional pregnancy terminations during this lockdown period in 2020 would equate to approximately 51,000 PYLL (potential years of life lost) which very likely occured over just a 5 week period from March 23rd 2020 till the end of April.''
I find the only true purpose it serves is to continually highlight that incompetence of "authority". Once people wake up to this, the world will be a better place.
I've actually never read anyone explain it all (excess death recording issues) so eloquently so almost anyone can understand so kudos to you sir !
Excellent work Joel, so glad your in the world at this time.🙏
I think ypur 100% correct re the delay, but i also think we'll find that the data will blow out to 3-3.5years delay.
By the time we can pick apart what was was what clearly. The data has been fudged 6ways to Sunday, all over the globe, every institution and regulatory body, partially because we were collectively poor at keeping data properly. There aren't many "details orientated" data keepers anymore.🤦♀️🤷♀️🤗
Great work! AGAIN!
18 months delay? Ugh.
How else could these be derived? Don't all deaths have to be certified by doctors as actual deaths? I guess these reports would be collated by RHA's? I have no clue. Judging by the number of ads for cremations, business is booming.
Funeral counts? Life Insurance pay out ratios - scalable for uninsured?
https://www.finder.com/uk/life-insurance-statistics
actuarial data? probably need one or two insiders - like Mr Dowd.
https://www.actuaries.org.uk/system/files/field/document/Mortality-monitor-Q2-2021-v01-2021-07-13.pdf
All looks like pulling teeth!
Don't stop dong what you are doing, you are so much better than the ONS!
All the best
ONS relies on death certificates which are only produced after the coroner is done of they were referred to him. That's my assessment of their response.
Joel, I have to say I'm confused. Given that the average age of a covid death in the UK was higher than the average life expectancy, how do we see ANY impact of covid at all when measured in life-years lost? If anyone can shed light on this, I would be very grateful. Thanks!
We have either,
A- the most incompetent governments on Earth, or,
B- the most malevolent governments on Earth,
and, if you toss in-
C)- Sars-cov-2 was almost certainly a Gain of Function creation from government funded and government directed laboratories, then you get to inescapable conclusion that-
D) IT WAS 100,000% THE GOVERNMENTS that just killed and disabled and bankrupted and harmed millions and millions and millions of people all over the Earth.
Now the only question is- What Are We Going To Do About This!?!
Joel I’m pretty good at reading charts and don’t see you demonstrating the shot contributed to excess deaths due to a backlog of coroners entries. If you take the data and plot as date of death you should see the increase of deaths due to the shot. It appears there was an increase when the “virus” became epidemic and the same amount when the “vaccine” was introduced. But it’s really not evident it’s the shot that caused the death. I’m sure people would attribute this to the ie “delta” variant.
So all I think you proved was to not rely on the registration date to make an analysis.
Maybe I’m totally wrong and you should enlighten me.
Correct. I'm not making that claim. On the contrary, I'm disputing the claims of others that are. No claims can be made for the last 18 months due to missing data. That's the point.
Your plots for ages 30-39 and 40-49 show that there's a dip in deaths around December 19th 2020 before the big spike in January, which makes it seem like the spike only started at the dip. However the dip was preceded by a similar dip in PCR positivity rate and wastewater prevalence around 1-3 weeks earlier: https://i.ibb.co/gFhxYN2/england-uk-age-groups-pcr-wastewater.png. In your plots for age groups 30-39 and 40-49, there's so much noise in the data that it's not easy to see that deaths in the age groups had already been increasing since around September, but it's easier to see if you look at all age groups together so the curve is smoother.
According to OWID's data, the percentage of positive PCR tests in the UK remained below 1% from June 25th 2020 until September 5th 2020, and there was also negative excess mortality in the UK for several weeks in the summer of 2020. But then in September 2020, the percentage of positive PCR tests started to gradually increase around the same time when the excess deaths started to increase, and on January 4th 2021, the percentage of positive PCR tests peaked at around 13% on the same week when excess mortality peaked at about 46%: `wget https://covid.ourworldindata.org/data/owid-covid-data.csv;brew install csvtk;csvtk cut -flocation,date,new_deaths,positive_rate,excess_mortality,new_vaccinations owid-covid-data.csv|awk 'NR==1||/United Kingdom/'|csvtk pretty`.
So basically the gradual increase in excess deaths that peaked in January 2021 started a long before the jabs were rolled out.
In the UK Coronavirus Dashboard API, the data for the number of new vaccines given per day only starts on January 11th 2021, which is the same day when the data starts in OWID: https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/download, https://api.coronavirus.data.gov.uk/v2/data?areaType=nation&areaCode=E92000001&metric=newOnsDeathsByRegistrationDate&metric=newVaccinesGivenByPublishDate&metric=newDailyNsoDeathsByDeathDate&format=csv. However I found a spreadsheet for the weekly number of new vaccines given in England from here: https://www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-vaccinations/. The new vaccinations on each week is listed as 57,766 for the week ending 2020-12-07, 527,411 for 2020-12-14, 272,880 for 2020-12-21, 355,661 for 2020-12-28, 1,370,969 for 2021-01-04, 1,675,489 for 2021-01-11, 2,284,792 for 2021-01-18, and 2,241,204 for 2021-01-25. So there were almost no new vaccines given even on the first week of December, even though there was already about 20% excess mortality on the last two weeks of November 2020.
Many other Western European countries also had a spike in excess mortality around November 2020, December 2020, or January 2020: https://i.ibb.co/M6K53W6/owid-heatmap-excess-mortality-new-vax-pcr-positivity.png. For example according to OWID's data, the excess mortality in Switzerland was 6% in October 2020, 57% in November 2020, 60% in December 2020, 23% in January 2021, and -10% in February 2021. So the peak was in December 2020, even though there were almost no vaccines given that month according to OWID's data. And the peak in monthly excess mortality was in November in Italy, France, and Belgium: https://i.ibb.co/nsjRJYZ/uk-france-belgium-italy.png.
If you like. What about the claim that the vaccine saved lives then? Does the data support that? That's as far down the hurdle at need to go...
And then there is, of course, the point you make - deaths and COVID were declining before the introduction of the "vaccine"...
And then they shoot up again. Oh, dear.
It's almost like something creates a whole new cohort of susceptible people...
The reason why COVID deaths shot up again may have been because they didn't just release the Wuhan strain but there was a program where subsubsequent variants of concern were also released deliberately, because if you look at variants of concern like Alpha, Delta, BA.1, and BA.2, they emerged in a genetic jump event where there were multiple new nonsynonymous mutations in the spike protein which appeared simultaneously out of nowhere, and if for example you compare the spike protein of XBB.1.5 to Wuhan-Hu-1, there's 40 nonsynonymous mutations but only a single synonymous mutation: https://metatron.substack.com/p/the-covid-vaccines-saved-millions/comment/18130194. But for example in the spike proteins of SARS1 samples, the ratio of nonsynonymous to synonymous mutations is typically around 1-2. And I think it's plausible that the vehicle for releasing the new strains were the vaccines: https://twitter.com/alexandrosM/status/1677100005772132354.
I don't know if the jabs saved lives, but they probably cost a lot of lives, because if you look at the statistics for ASMR per 100,000 person-years in England that were reported by the ONS, in the group labeled "First dose, at least 21 days ago", the ASMR increased from about 1,000 in March 2021 to about 6,400 in June 2021 during the period when the second jab was rolled out, and in the group labeled "Second dose, at least 6 months ago", the ASMR increased from about 1,100 in September 2021 to about 4,900 in January 2022 during the period when the third jab was rolled out: https://i.ibb.co/1rsHJTd/ons-asmr-vs-vaccination-status-group-size.png. So I think it's because they classified people as single-jabbed for 2 or 3 weeks after the second jab and as double-jabbed for 2 or 3 weeks after the third jab.
But anyway, if you compare the spikes in excess deaths in UK in spring 2020 and January 2020, the peak daily number of COVID cases was about 15 times bigger in January 2021 than in spring 2020, and the peak number of patients hospitalized for COVID was about twice as big. So if the excess deaths in spring 2020 were caused by the treatment protocols, and if the treatment protocols did not change that much between spring 2020 and January 2021, then how can you know that the deaths in January 2021 were caused by the vaccines and not by the treatment protocols? Or do people like you and Rancourt only need to invoke treatment protocols as a cause of death when the option of vaccines is not available to you?
According to OWID's data for the UK, the spikes in excess mortality have also coincided with spikes in the number of people hospitalized for COVID: https://i.ibb.co/6bXVLLs/owid-uk-excess-mortality-vs-hospitalized-population.png. But why would vaccine injuries result in a huge number of hospitalizations for COVID?
According to OWID's data for the UK, the number of patients hospitalized for COVID had already increased from 721 on September 11th 2020 to 18,740 on December 18th 2020, which is an approximately 26-fold increase in 3 months. So since people were not yet vaccinated, what caused the increase? And cannot the same cause also explain the further increase to 38,824 hospitalized patients by January 18th 2020, when the size of the hospitalized population peaked according to OWID? Or if you decide to argue that the spike in hospitalizations in winter 2020-2021 was not caused by the vaccinations, then how can you know that the spike in excess deaths was caused by the vaccinations and not by some cause related to the increase in hospitalizations?
In your plot for ages 40-49, you made it seem like the spike in deaths in January 2021 started at the dip around December 19th 2020 which was highlighted in the plot. But actually the deaths had already been increasing since late August, and the dip in deaths in December was preceded by a similar dip in PCR positivity rate and wastewater prevalence, which should be even clearer from this plot: https://i.ibb.co/X8R9Fc6/england-december-2020-dip.png. And at the point when the jabs were rolled out, the percentage of positive PCR tests, wastewater prevalence, and the size of the hospitalized population had already been increasing for a few months.
A (real) journalist for The Washington Stand wrote a great summary of RFK Jr.’s remarks at the Congressional Hearing on Government Censorship. This is the hearing where 102 Democrats tried to prevent RFK, Jr. from speaking.
It’s a quick read that highlight’s Kennedy’s excellent remarks. I added a few of my own thoughts. This move will no doubt boomerang on the Censorship Industrial Complex. What those censors really did was throw ‘B’rer Rabbit into the briar patch.
https://billricejr.substack.com/p/democrats-try-to-censor-rfk-jr-at?utm_source=profile&utm_medium=reader2
I made a plot of the monthly excess mortality percent within each 10-year age group: https://i.ibb.co/0BjZJpg/england-10-year-age-groups-excess-death-number.png. R script: https://pastebin.com/raw/Vb0L9rB7.
One figure in the plot that stands out is that in October 2021, there was 30% excess mortality in the age group 10-19, compared to 0% the previous month and -9% the next month, even though mortality was not elevated in other age groups in October 2021. It may be because on September 20th 2021 the NHS published a press release titled "NHS rolls out COVID-19 jab to children aged 12 to 15", and 4 days later on September 24th 2021 the NHS published another press release titled "People aged 16 and 17 urged to get lifesaving COVID vaccine as NHS bookings open".
Oh dear. I get the feeling from this that the already worrying excess deaths could actually be worryingly higher thanks to, possibly deliberate, procedural delays?
Great.