As I look at usmortality.com for the USA, and compare 2020 with 2021, we are out-of-phase. No excess deaths for the first 3.5 months of 2020, and still in a big peak for the first 3 months of 2021.
Maybe the comparison of cumulative excess deaths should start from March 1 2020 to Feb 28 2021 versus March 1 2021 to Feb 28 2022?
Of course it would make much more sense for younger cohorts (0-14, and 15-44 for example, which could be extract from euromomo.eu as well) and for a longer time period (for example from the spring, when vaccination started) and not just for 6 weeks.
Comment #2:
strange stuff is going on with statistics in Europe. The site Euromomo updated yesterday the curves of excess deaths, and they changed a lot for the years 2018 and 2021 for the age group 0-14:
From their bullettin of week 47 (see website https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps#excess-mortality) they took into account 29 nations instead of 26, but it still seems to me very strange such a different form of the curves for 2018 and 2021 respect to baseline, as only 3 nations have been added to the statistics out of 29...
As I look at usmortality.com for the USA, and compare 2020 with 2021, we are out-of-phase. No excess deaths for the first 3.5 months of 2020, and still in a big peak for the first 3 months of 2021.
Maybe the comparison of cumulative excess deaths should start from March 1 2020 to Feb 28 2021 versus March 1 2021 to Feb 28 2022?
Interesting. Very similar results are reported for Europe as well.
Comment #1:
a short question actually: to check whether all of this is correlated to introduction of vaccines, would it make sense an analysis like the following?
https://twitter.com/USMortality/status/1463918047144681472
Of course it would make much more sense for younger cohorts (0-14, and 15-44 for example, which could be extract from euromomo.eu as well) and for a longer time period (for example from the spring, when vaccination started) and not just for 6 weeks.
Comment #2:
strange stuff is going on with statistics in Europe. The site Euromomo updated yesterday the curves of excess deaths, and they changed a lot for the years 2018 and 2021 for the age group 0-14:
https://twitter.com/Gigi82776430/status/1463922971026853893
From their bullettin of week 47 (see website https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps#excess-mortality) they took into account 29 nations instead of 26, but it still seems to me very strange such a different form of the curves for 2018 and 2021 respect to baseline, as only 3 nations have been added to the statistics out of 29...
Why do the charts start at a positive number on Jan 4th and not zero?
Thank you for the charts. Could you please add a set that adjusts for population growth?
How to reconcile this with the excess death statistics from https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/excess-mortality-raw-death-count ? It seems that 2021 has seen more excess deaths mainly in January, i.e. before the vaccination role out
thats over a million people