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David AuBuchon's avatar

See this guy's plot:

https://twitter.com/bcs221b/status/1479072762664792065

He stated in a comment:

https://probabilityandlaw.blogspot.com/2022/01/no-fancy-statistics-simply-plot-of.html?showComment=1641981033008#c3693838699067488985

“If one adds time into consideration, as one should, pondering Covid-19 deaths 14 days later and how the relationship vaccines vs. future deaths evolves, the picture is actually one where it seems that more Covid-19 vaccination actually leads to more Covid-19 deaths.

Just plot time (days), daily vaccination rates, and deaths 14 days later. Then do a surface fit (Linear, for simplicity, or something like a Spline to better "hug" the data points). One finds that deaths decrease with time and actually INCREASE with vaccination.

I posted a graph in response to your tweet.”

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MattRFisher's avatar

Impressive work Joel. Here's hoping all these countries do not push a dose 4 experiment. Seems like 3 is enough for us to reach conclusions.

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