I think you need to change your name to Megatron - more in keeping with the current "Transformer" theme that Omicron implies.
Thanks for this work - spectacular.
It underlines what those of us not Pfizered out of our brains can see very clearly - these vaccines are not working very well, and may be making things worse. The question we need to be asking is how come, after nearly 2 years of lockdowns, masks, distancing, and being boosted to Kingdom Come, we're still in such a mess?
Whatever the vaccines may, or may not, be doing - they don't seem to have lived up to their promise. Maybe the folks in charge are using a different definition of "success" than me.
Every angle we look at it except "look, antibodies and Pfizer's very own trial report with all its pretty exclusions..." things look very bad for the vaccines.
I said this exact thing to my father today. How is it 2020 had no vaccines and fewer deaths to Covid. If these vaccines are so remarkable wouldn’t we have seen a decrease in 2021 with vaccines. Nice touch with all the charts.
"Not even (especially?) public health authorities? Weird?"
I can't stop laughing.
"Relatively speaking, we have saved 100s of billions of lives already. We've protected the elderly and the vulnerable. We've protected our NHS, we've protected our way of life and our liberties and freedoms. If you don't agree, I will revoke your Covid Pass. Get Boosted!"
See this is happening right now, 11/11 Londoners fully boosted got Covid in a party. This implies using our Pfizer VE calculation of 95% effectiveness that at least 209 missing people or ghosts didn't test right? Prof. Pagel is a mathematician, I'm sure she can figure out why this happened.
She's instead openly saying what they really thought all along. Green passes were to increase vaccine uptake and not infection prevention. They likely did not realize it will increase uptake of virus at 2x rate eroding every chance of herd immunity, even the heard immunity that would have come from advancing and killing the vulnerable with a safe and effective vaccine. https://twitter.com/chrischirp/status/1471144280588800007?s=20
thanks for breaking this down state by state. When is even ONE journalist asking President Biden why more Americans are dying than ever? We are waiting.
1. Most excess all-cause mortality for both 2020 and 2021 appears to be associated with Covid (perhaps with some decoupling since summer 2021).
2. There was little excess mortality during Jan & Feb 2020 because the Covid pandemic was not yet visible. In contrast, during Jan & Feb 2021, we had lots of excess death associated with the middle and tail end of the Covid wave that began about Dec 2020.
3. Conclusion: to compare the accumulation of excess mortality between 2020 and 2021, we should not start from Jan 1 and end at Dec 31. We should start at March 1 2020 and end at Feb 28 2021...compared to... March 1 2021 and ending at Feb 28 2022.
You can do this too and discover similar results. The increases in 2021 are not concentrated in Jan and Feb. But the global correlation between mass vaccination is way too strong to dump that data in the prevax period. That's just as bad as dumping dose 1 <= 14 days event data in the unvaccinated cohort.
In that article you used Covid deaths. What if you use all-cause deaths? According to Pfizer's 6 months shit you should find that the more jabs, the more all-cause deaths.
Yes, COVID but up until the summer, there was a strong correlation between COVID deaths and excess deaths (albeit vaccine-induced COVID deaths post dose 1 immunosuppression!!). In the latter half of the year, the relationship has broken down a bit so excess deaths in US states will indeed be an interesting analysis.
So it seems that, after the summer, a new thing appeared that increased the excess deaths. We think that it is the vaccine but Vaccination in the US started before the summer.
Were COVID deaths before summer high enough to hide the vaccine killing effect? Do we need a certain amount of vaccinated people to find the effect? I would say no, because most vax-deaths seem to happen in the 2 weeks after injection. So what we could need is a certain injection rate. Can the vax kill more in the winter regardless when the person got the jab? For instance, because your immune system cannot deal with other winter viruses or because heart problems are more common in winter.
So many questions. Just one answer, stop the injection program now!
No, most COVID deaths due to the vax happened within 2 weeks of dose 1. Non-COVID vax deaths can happen at any time. Given there is a correlation between heat and cardiac deaths, that would be my guess for the increase in deaths over summer. Longer term, of course, we simply don't know. But those who have signed up for the biggest medical experiment in history will give us all the answers eventually, no matter how the "authorities" try to hide it.
The only thing we can be absolutely certain of is the fact that there are substantially more deaths post mass vaccination than before. Attribution is rather more complex but as a starting point, to argue for "vaccine effectiveness" in reducing mortality, you're already very much on the back foot!!
Deaths in VAERS peak at 0-1 days post injection and then decay. I have long been thinking about two problems with this pattern:
1. This could be an "attribution of causality" artifact. In other words if the true peak of death is two weeks after injection, nobody would notice (and report) it because there would be no psychological linkage between the two events.
2. If vaccine toxicity is caused by cells programed to produce spike, I would think that spike protein would have to accumulate throughout the body for several days before causing enough damage to cause death. In other words, death seems too quick?
Compare the death curve in "openvaers" with the myocarditis curve reported by Tracy Høeg's September preprint. The myocarditis curve is shifted 1-3 days later as compared to deaths. This is compatible with my point about mechanism (Point 2) and also with psychological biases (Point 1). Doctors still deny death but are more open to myocarditis because myocarditis is now somewhat officially recognized. So doctors are more willing to report cases of myocarditis emerging after a longer delay, but require nearly instant death (they have to be slapped in the face) before they recognize it.
Though I would certainly expect better charts than these after mass vaccination, NJ seems to be doing comparatively well. Could we have more natural immunity?
The only reason for lower deaths in 2021 is if deaths were extraordinarily high in 2020, ie New York City. Herd immunity might have saved the day until vaccination came along and interfered with the process (the host - original antigenic sin and the virus - vaccine immune escape variants). Vaccinations have done nothing but harm - directly in terms of increased COVID deaths and indirectly in terms of fatal side effects. This is what the data shows and is fully supported by the scientific research. Look up the writers I follow on Substack for the science or check out Geert Vanden Bosche.
Magnificent, Metatron
I think you need to change your name to Megatron - more in keeping with the current "Transformer" theme that Omicron implies.
Thanks for this work - spectacular.
It underlines what those of us not Pfizered out of our brains can see very clearly - these vaccines are not working very well, and may be making things worse. The question we need to be asking is how come, after nearly 2 years of lockdowns, masks, distancing, and being boosted to Kingdom Come, we're still in such a mess?
Whatever the vaccines may, or may not, be doing - they don't seem to have lived up to their promise. Maybe the folks in charge are using a different definition of "success" than me.
For the answer to that, look up Mattias Desmet and "mass formation psychosis". It's right out of the Nazi playbook.
Here's one video by Mattias
https://youtu.be/uLDpZ8daIVM
... lots of other great videos on Dan Astin-Gregory channel ...
Dr. David Martin explains the true purpose:
https://vimeo.com/627693456
Cluster bomb.
Every angle we look at it except "look, antibodies and Pfizer's very own trial report with all its pretty exclusions..." things look very bad for the vaccines.
Wow. Thanks for providing this. Sobering stuff.
I said this exact thing to my father today. How is it 2020 had no vaccines and fewer deaths to Covid. If these vaccines are so remarkable wouldn’t we have seen a decrease in 2021 with vaccines. Nice touch with all the charts.
"Not even (especially?) public health authorities? Weird?"
I can't stop laughing.
"Relatively speaking, we have saved 100s of billions of lives already. We've protected the elderly and the vulnerable. We've protected our NHS, we've protected our way of life and our liberties and freedoms. If you don't agree, I will revoke your Covid Pass. Get Boosted!"
See this is happening right now, 11/11 Londoners fully boosted got Covid in a party. This implies using our Pfizer VE calculation of 95% effectiveness that at least 209 missing people or ghosts didn't test right? Prof. Pagel is a mathematician, I'm sure she can figure out why this happened.
She's instead openly saying what they really thought all along. Green passes were to increase vaccine uptake and not infection prevention. They likely did not realize it will increase uptake of virus at 2x rate eroding every chance of herd immunity, even the heard immunity that would have come from advancing and killing the vulnerable with a safe and effective vaccine. https://twitter.com/chrischirp/status/1471144280588800007?s=20
Yup. I read that tweet this morning too. They are crazy. The elephant is so big, it's taken up the entire room!
Real-world data are racist and bigoted!
Excellent. I will virate it.
As to your question, it depends on whose lives they meant.
Mmm... I don't think so! COVID Deaths are higher too!!!
I was dissing them. We need some balance to all their negativity. Remember, life goes on.
Look at Australia. I've dared our NSW Health Minister to look compare Dec 2020 vs. Dec 2021 and identify what we did not have back in 2020.
The issue is: what else do we need to do to reach more people because we are a small minority, looking at the vax rates in all wealthy countries?
thanks for breaking this down state by state. When is even ONE journalist asking President Biden why more Americans are dying than ever? We are waiting.
1. Most excess all-cause mortality for both 2020 and 2021 appears to be associated with Covid (perhaps with some decoupling since summer 2021).
2. There was little excess mortality during Jan & Feb 2020 because the Covid pandemic was not yet visible. In contrast, during Jan & Feb 2021, we had lots of excess death associated with the middle and tail end of the Covid wave that began about Dec 2020.
3. Conclusion: to compare the accumulation of excess mortality between 2020 and 2021, we should not start from Jan 1 and end at Dec 31. We should start at March 1 2020 and end at Feb 28 2021...compared to... March 1 2021 and ending at Feb 28 2022.
You can do this too and discover similar results. The increases in 2021 are not concentrated in Jan and Feb. But the global correlation between mass vaccination is way too strong to dump that data in the prevax period. That's just as bad as dumping dose 1 <= 14 days event data in the unvaccinated cohort.
We have the "Calendar Year", the "Fiscal Year", the "School Year", and the CDC even has the "Flu Year". But how does one define the "Covid Year?
In this case I have used calendar year since it neatly separates pre and post mass vaccination which was the target variable.
Could you compare the excess deaths in each state with the share of the population that has been injected?
I will eventually. It will most likely show the same results as this - https://metatron.substack.com/p/does-covid-vaccination-reduce-covid
In that article you used Covid deaths. What if you use all-cause deaths? According to Pfizer's 6 months shit you should find that the more jabs, the more all-cause deaths.
Thanks!
Yes, COVID but up until the summer, there was a strong correlation between COVID deaths and excess deaths (albeit vaccine-induced COVID deaths post dose 1 immunosuppression!!). In the latter half of the year, the relationship has broken down a bit so excess deaths in US states will indeed be an interesting analysis.
So it seems that, after the summer, a new thing appeared that increased the excess deaths. We think that it is the vaccine but Vaccination in the US started before the summer.
Were COVID deaths before summer high enough to hide the vaccine killing effect? Do we need a certain amount of vaccinated people to find the effect? I would say no, because most vax-deaths seem to happen in the 2 weeks after injection. So what we could need is a certain injection rate. Can the vax kill more in the winter regardless when the person got the jab? For instance, because your immune system cannot deal with other winter viruses or because heart problems are more common in winter.
So many questions. Just one answer, stop the injection program now!
No, most COVID deaths due to the vax happened within 2 weeks of dose 1. Non-COVID vax deaths can happen at any time. Given there is a correlation between heat and cardiac deaths, that would be my guess for the increase in deaths over summer. Longer term, of course, we simply don't know. But those who have signed up for the biggest medical experiment in history will give us all the answers eventually, no matter how the "authorities" try to hide it.
The only thing we can be absolutely certain of is the fact that there are substantially more deaths post mass vaccination than before. Attribution is rather more complex but as a starting point, to argue for "vaccine effectiveness" in reducing mortality, you're already very much on the back foot!!
Deaths in VAERS peak at 0-1 days post injection and then decay. I have long been thinking about two problems with this pattern:
1. This could be an "attribution of causality" artifact. In other words if the true peak of death is two weeks after injection, nobody would notice (and report) it because there would be no psychological linkage between the two events.
2. If vaccine toxicity is caused by cells programed to produce spike, I would think that spike protein would have to accumulate throughout the body for several days before causing enough damage to cause death. In other words, death seems too quick?
Compare the death curve in "openvaers" with the myocarditis curve reported by Tracy Høeg's September preprint. The myocarditis curve is shifted 1-3 days later as compared to deaths. This is compatible with my point about mechanism (Point 2) and also with psychological biases (Point 1). Doctors still deny death but are more open to myocarditis because myocarditis is now somewhat officially recognized. So doctors are more willing to report cases of myocarditis emerging after a longer delay, but require nearly instant death (they have to be slapped in the face) before they recognize it.
Though I would certainly expect better charts than these after mass vaccination, NJ seems to be doing comparatively well. Could we have more natural immunity?
The only reason for lower deaths in 2021 is if deaths were extraordinarily high in 2020, ie New York City. Herd immunity might have saved the day until vaccination came along and interfered with the process (the host - original antigenic sin and the virus - vaccine immune escape variants). Vaccinations have done nothing but harm - directly in terms of increased COVID deaths and indirectly in terms of fatal side effects. This is what the data shows and is fully supported by the scientific research. Look up the writers I follow on Substack for the science or check out Geert Vanden Bosche.
Thank you. Been following Geert since he appeared on the Dark Horse podcast. Our substacks overlap by three, I'll have to check out the others.