Finally!
On 23rd Sept 2023, I requested this information from ONS:
Is it possible to get deaths by month and year of OCCURRENCE, stratified by month and year of birth?
How far back does this data go?
Is it consistent for England & Wales or just England on its own?
Can it also be stratified by sex?
After much back and forth, I finally got a final response today, almost 4 months later:
Daily occurrence deaths by sex and year of birth since 1970 to most current day, all countries of birth combined
Daily occurrence deaths by sex and year of birth since 2007 to most current day, people born in England & Wales only
£1,050 and 12 weeks to deliver.
Notwithstanding the facts that this data should be free and routinely provided and any competent database technician could script the request in a few minutes, in the public interest, I’ll be buying the data and producing the excess mortality analysis1 that the ONS keeps failing to produce properly.
If you want to support this project, please email substack.metatron@use.startmail.com.
Thank you!
In accordance with the methodology set out here:
Gompertz Modelling of Excess Mortality - a Corollary
Introduction I recently discovered a new mortality dataset for England & Wales: In spite of the obvious pitfall of being registration-date data, since it goes back as far as 1963, and is stratified by sex, it was still useful for further validating my model, referenced below. In particular, it meant I didn’t have to construct a full curve from 5-year integrals of different birth cohorts. Instead, it was possible to derive reliable full distributions from a single birth cohort.
“Any competent data technician” There’s your problem right there!
This is great news Joel. Keep up the good work 😊