What does endemic COVID look like?
How naïve we were! And concrete evidence of inflated COVID mortality.
Dr Clare Craig reminded me yesterday of this little gem I co-authored with her and Dr Jonathan Engler over two years ago for the Daily Sceptic:
It’s actually a pretty decent read even though we were so naïve to think that COVID would have been endemic by the end of autumn 2020. I mean, how could we possibly have anticipated the extent to which the mRNA experiment would completely reverse that natural progression?!
Upon her request, I took the liberty of redoing the first chart now that we have so much more data. In fact, given that I paid for it, I used the dataset that includes primary cause of death so there is no speculation around the recoding of many other respiratory deaths to COVID.
The first observation from this analysis is that non-respiratory deaths show no signal in terms of excess1.
I’ve said it many times that the potential impact of the COVID “vaccine” to exacerbate COVID mortality (or respiratory mortality in general) is substantially more material than the other fatal adverse reactions to the jab.
Naturally, I’m not denying that these deaths exist, nor that they are very important, just that they do not manifest (yet) at the population level in terms of excess. It may be that because they affect younger people, they are being swamped by the respiratory deaths of the older ones. I haven’t checked this but there is age-stratification in the data so anyone else can take a look if they like.
Nor do I dismiss the possibility that some of these non-respiratory deaths may well have been incorrectly attributed to COVID either and of course, that the baseline might ought to be lower due to the pull forward effect.
The second observation, however, is more interesting. It is clear that COVID replaced many other respiratory deaths that would have occurred anyway. We can see this by looking at the yearly respiratory (excluding COVID) deaths.
As it happens, in season 2019-20, which includes “epidemic” COVID, the tally is pretty much in line with expectation (circa 20k).
However, whether it’s genuinely COVID out-competing all the other respiratory pathogens (viral and bacterial) or just misattribution on the death certificates, it’s abundantly clear in both seasons 2020-21 and 2021-22 that respiratory (excluding COVID) deaths are much lower than we would expect.
In 2020-21, we’re actually registering a deficit!
Now, although the implication of this is that they’ve over-egged COVID somewhat (we already knew this even though we still don’t really know for sure why - he says with his naïve hat back on), if we look at all respiratory deaths (i.e. including COVID), it is also evident that we still have a problem, “in spite” of the “vaccine”.
Again, as it happens, season 2020-21 is actually worse than the prior season which includes epidemic COVID. Furthermore, the really worse bit occurs after the mass experiment. Hence the source of Craig, Engler and Smalley naïvely calling it wrong!
More furthermore, at 35k excess deaths, even season 2021-22 comes in 4-sigma higher than the expectation set between 2014 and 2019. In normal circumstances, public health authorities would be declaring an emergency investigation of this. How times change!
Or is it just the way deaths are coded?
Later update: I’ve taken another look at this and will caveat that statement. It is apparent that the “low season” deaths do not return to baseline both after lockdown spring of 2020 and ever since the mass “vaccination” campaign. So, there is evidence of higher excess non-respiratory mortality, it just appears to be chronic so its effects will most likely be felt over a longer period, ultimately making it just as bad as the acute increase in respiratory mortality.
Have you been following the Massachusetts (USA) lawsuit on the misclassification of deaths? They have source level data of all death certificates from a FOIA that indicates that deaths were incorrectly attributed....so if it happens here (I live in the wonderfully democratic moonbat state of Massachusetts), then I am sure other states did it as well.
There is no such thing as "endemic Covid" as "Covid" is a fictional construct- it is not a unique disease. Likewise there is no such thing as a "Covid death", these were manufactured through patently fraudulent methods for obvious reasons.
As you know they have manufactured a "new reality" on everything just as they manufactured a "new deadly disease" by simply changing terms and categorizations.
The article below speaks to how they invented "Covid deaths." Anyone who has looked into this aspect of the "Covid" fraud understands that one would be hard pressed to find even a single "Covid death" if previous mortality accounting was in place.
“What exactly counts as a Covid-19 death?”
To fully understand what a Covid death is- and what it isn’t- it is essential to understand the radical, and to this day unexplained, changes made in how deaths would be recorded, starting in the Spring of 2020. For the last two decades, standardized cataloging of mortality statistics has been in place, as outlined in the CDC’s Medical Examiners’ & Coroners’ Handbook on Death Registration and Fetal Death Reporting and the CDC’s Physicians’ Handbook on Medical Certification of Death.
The arrival of Covid-19 would usher in a new manner of recording mortality.
On March 24th, 2020, the National Vital Statistics System (NVSS), under the direction of the CDC, issued ‘COVID-19 Alert No. 2’ to all physicians, medical examiners, and coroners as a guideline as to ‘how cause of death’ would now be reported on death certificates, exclusively for COVID-19.
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The ramifications of this can not be overstated as the NVSS, a division of the CDC sets the rules for how state health departments are obliged to assess mortality data. This seemingly innocent single-page release became a watershed moment in how the United States would define Covid-19 deaths and began a process by which all manner of deaths would be coded as U07.1 COVID-19.
In practice, this led to a grossly exaggerated number of deaths being mislabelled “Covid-19 deaths.”
For example, as of Feb. 3rd, 2021, a glimpse at Table 3 of the CDC’s “Conditions Contributing to Deaths Involving COVID-19” shows 14,369 deaths listed as injury deaths which were recorded in the Covid-19 death count. While not the largest example of Covid-19 death misattribution, this clearly illustrates the deceit and manipulation which is found throughout the CDC Covid-19 mortality database.
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Such examples are not unique. An exhaustive examination of the CDC’s Provisional Mortality Statistics database reveals that finding a case where an individual died solely from Covid is the exception. Based on all we now know, questioning any and all deaths attributed to “Covid” is imperative.
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In addition to these alterations for the coding of Covid-19 deaths, physicians and hospitals were given financial incentives for labeling patients with COVID-19, and providers were given an array of codes for billing COVID-19 deaths.
Due to the new codification methodology implemented in countries across the world, it became expected and implicitly suggested that all types of deaths would be listed as Covid-19 deaths.
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As we’ve established the grim reality that most COVID-19 deaths are actually NOT from COVID-19, there can be little doubt that the changes in the protocol were designed to increase the death rate in order to heighten public fear and anxiety.
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https://healthfreedomdefense.org/counting-covid-deaths/