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Life expectancy jiggles back and forth depending on the how the youngest among us survive, not how much longer the oldsters are living. The calculations have slid downward because more young people are dying. All that really matters is your life expectancy, not where you fit in with the masses.

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Jun 15·edited Jun 15Author

Indeed. I was thinking, in another life as an actuary, this would be a really important consideration. we are so used to thinking about averages because of aggregation but the reality is that there a re multitude of distributions that make up the population mortality distribution for any particular birth cohort. Those cohorts will be determined by many things related to lifestyle choices - childhood vaccination, nutrition, exercise, smoking, exposure to various pharmaceutical poisons, etc... We each have the ability, to a large extent, to determine which distribution we fall into and we can switch distributions, the earlier the better! I'm planning on living until at least 105 so I'm positioning myself in the top distribution. In other words, vitamins and minerals, preferably from whole, organic foods and nothing from the pharmaceutical complex, thanks. It takes more than an apple a day!!

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There are policies in place to ensure that only a small percentage of people live beyond 80. You don't want to be top heavy on geriatrics because that would collapse the pension system + it would mean resources that could be used for productive purposes e.g. better schools get wasted on the elderly.... degrading civilization until it collapses...

These polices involves vaccines and stuffing the masses with sugar.

There is no sense it trying to change these policies... that's impossible -- and these policies are necessary...

As you state -- on an individual level what we can do is defeat the policies with organic foods... and healthy lifestyles... no vaccines... no processed foods... exercise.

F789 everyone else... they won't listen anyway

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Those policies conflict with the pharmaceutical revenue model. They need to maximise the number of people in the age range who can be kept alive with their products even if it means they are not living a life!

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It kinda feels like they are running a death farm....they have quotas ... so many have to be killed at target ages... essentially a massive culling operation ...

With Big Farma and the processed food industry tasked with fuelling the cull...

They tweak things as necessary e.g. by adding more vaxxes to the childhood schedule or more sugar to the food supply.

Farma is not interested in promoting health... it's a parasite that makes billions off of sickening the herd.

I was in a premium shop some months ago and while waiting for my order... was looking at the labels of the processed stuff on the shelves... this is meant to be high quality food... but literally everything had sugar added... even the cayenne + salt mixture had sugar... wtf???

No wonder people cannot control their weight... even if they eat zero sweets they are still eating sugar at every meal -- without knowing it

That was when it occurred to me that perhaps there is a conscious plan in place to control population...

Two outstanding reads on this topic are The Case Against Sugar and The Clot Thickens...

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I can't believe it took me so long to work this out for myself. No wonder the majority never do!

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My observations on this:

One person I know when asked about his diet of pizza and steak responded to another friend with 'tell it to someone who gives a f789' He suffers from gluttony (although he does a lot of exercise so holds it together)

My cousin visited us last year with a VFF in tow (Very Fat Friend)... she'd be under 160cm and weigh in at 85kg at least... as she was gulping down a fist full of pills one evening (not supplements....) we got to discussing her fails at losing weight... she was interested in learning why she couldn't... I told her she needed to wean off the sugar addiction... there is a 21 day challenge that can shock the system... zero garbage food for 21 days breaks the addiction then you go from there

She's seen my breakfast concoction and asks if I can make her one the next day... it's a mix of coconut water and pure water ... a handful of mixed nuts... no sugar no flavour protein isolate... some berries... LSA powder... a bit of cinnamon powder and chia... with a few slices of banana.... she normally has granola which of course is heavily sweetened...

She takes a spoonful and says it has no taste... right - that's cuz there is no sugar...and you are addicted to sugar... she can't eat it... I tell her than perhaps she might try reducing over a week or two rather than going cold turkey...

That was the last we discussed this .... I am not in touch but I suspect she's be lured in by the good folks who manufacture Ozempic... after seeing Oprah shilling for that drug... BTW https://www.womenshealthmag.com/health/a61083906/oprah-hospital-stomach-illness/

Then there are the masses of imbeciles who just do not know ... however if they were enlightened.... they'd fall into one of the above categories...

There are doers... and then there is everyone else... feeble minded... feeble bodied... glued to cnnbbc being told what to think and do ... because they are weak/dumb.

Isn't this magnificent... https://www.instagram.com/reel/C8Mjuf1p9zt/

And then there is this https://c8.alamy.com/comp/A15YB5/overweight-male-on-motorized-wheel-chair-eats-food-A15YB5.jpg

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Don't forget seed oils, aluminum, etc.

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Yep... organic olive and avocado oils... no fluoride... there's a Saturday farmers market nearby -- I only buy certified organic veg.... I want to beat Joel and make it to 130 years of age :)

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See also

'Doctoring the Data'

'Deadly Medicines and Organised Crime'

'How to Stop Your Doctor Killing You'

'Covid and the Global Predators'

also 'Ultra-Processed People'.

By four more MDs other than Malcolm Kendrick.

Italy, Japan or Hong Kong perhaps haven't got the message yet. People live to nearly 85 on average. In UK, only 80. USA is doing 'brilliantly well' at only 76.

I also saw a comment somewhere that 30 countries have banned the addition of boron to food supplements yet it's a significant trace element, like selenium, cobalt, copper, zinc, etc. Papers on this US government website agree it's important

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6993532/

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And BTW - I take 8 different supplements every day ... haven't had as much as a sniffle since I expanded my supplement intake 2+ yrs ago

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I took a little vit d lately ( winter here in NZ) but cleaned my diet up in 2003 and havent had any sniffle or anything for at least 7 years. This nonsense from world heath govt and ,a previous medical surgical procedure done wrong, has made me stop seeing my DR and stop my one medicine I was on ( warfarin). I am pretty healthy and active and 65. More healthy and active than when I was 40. Now eat Carnivoure/keto and what a difference

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What, pension, Social Security (and English equivalent thereof) are supposed to be limited to 10 to 15 years? Don't add in medical costs, since those are mostly just a scam. What's "F789"?

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F word I think!

The UK DWP pays the state pension from retirement age (66) until you die.

The UK has no 'medical costs', unless you choose private treatment. The NHS is free at the point of use (except for treatment of teeth and eyes). Similar in about half of all European countries.

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Jun 15·edited Jun 15

Providing NHS ain't free! Whatever people pay out of pocket outside that system just reduced costs for them. Medicare rips most everyone (save possibly the Amish) off.

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no some places like NZ it is completely free , paid by the peoples taxes. I know I live in NZ

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Jun 15Liked by Joel Smalley

Brilliant analysis. I see from a previous comment you have an actuary background and it shows.

I think this resolves two apparently irreconcilable facts:

In March of 2020 Dr. Ioannides used hard data from the Diamond Princess to estimate the CFR of covid to be about the same as seasonal flu and so would cause about 10,000 deaths in the US, highly stratified by age and health status.

But, there have been massive excess deaths starting in 2020 in almost all Western countries, and is still continuing.

So why are there so many excess deaths if the virus isn’t especially deadly? Ioannides is one of the most highly cited scientists working; he didn’t make a mistake, and the virus was constantly mutating to become less fatal and more infectious.

But as you’ve shown, the answer is hiding in plain sight: they were killed by what the governments did to “protect” us. They died of other causes but had a meaningless positive test within 28 days and so were classified as a covid death. And those other causes were worsened by the terror of 24x7x365 news of body counts and cases and new variants.

I suspect the working actuaries know the perfectly well and don’t have to jump through hoops to get the data, but they are talking publicly. They just have to set the premiums for new policies and have enough to do without wading into such a hot topic.

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Thank you but no, I don't have an actuarial background, just a very logical brain! I would argue that even Ioannides over-estimated the CFR from DP. I don't think he took expected background mortality into account?

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Jun 15Liked by Joel Smalley

I had read your “in another life as an actuary” comment too literally - maybe in a future life you will be one!

This is his article I was referring to and I don’t see where he took background mortality into account in using 0.3% as a working estimate of CFR.

What I, as an absolute nobody, question is his use of a 1% infection rate (below). The infection rate on the DP was at least 20% (700 cases/3500 people), since you have to get infected in order to become a case.

He might have been thinking that since a cruise ship is absolutely worst case, since practically everyone is in contact with everyone else, but that is only true for the duration of the cruise.

It seems more correct to say that over time, say one year, that practically everyone will be exposed and 20% develop into cases. That would lead to 200,000 deaths, with all other assumptions the same. But there were over 500,000 in the US in 2020, so we’re right back to government caused death and suffering.

"If we assume that case fatality rate among individuals infected by SARS-CoV-2 is 0.3% in the general population — a mid-range guess from my Diamond Princess analysis — and that 1% of the U.S. population gets infected (about 3.3 million people), this would translate to about 10,000 deaths."

https://www.statnews.com/2020/03/17/a-fiasco-in-the-making-as-the-coronavirus-pandemic-takes-hold-we-are-making-decisions-without-reliable-data/

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Yes, that's the correct interpretation! WRT to DP, honestly, I think it just becomes one of those distraction in the end. It obliges us to argue about about something that presupposes that there was a novel virus and it was pathogenic when the reality is, it doesn't matter because all the excess death was iatrogenic.

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My brother in laws parents were on that ship both were perfectly fine until they confined them to their quarters, his father who has Parkinson’s but was in ok with no other health problems became ill.

No treatment was offered or given and he ended up dying of renal failure but was logged as Covid with renal as a side effect.

Organ failure is common when chest infections turn to pneumonia and are not treated correct or promptly. I found this out when I had pneumonia years ago myself so was vocal when the shit show started on the refusal to treat people.

His wife never caught Covid even though she was held up in the same cabin with him.

I even told her to her face that their policy of neglect killed him and not Covid, he would’ve stood a good chance with treatment had it been given.

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If you consider that diet is preventive medicine (cardiovascular and cancer death are #1 & #2 in death causation often attributed to sugar and seed oil consumption, i.e. ultraprocessed food) with death due to medical malpractice as #3, one would not be too far off in saying that the leading cause of early death in WEIRD (Western, "Educated", Industrialized, Rich, "Democratic") societies is doctors (iatrogenic)!

Here's a century old observation on the annual fluctuation during winter months (alcohol & sugar binge season with no sunshine generating vitamin D3) — Adams, S. F. (1926). "The seasonal variation in the onset of acute diabetes: The age and sex factors in 1,000 diabetic patients." Archives of Internal Medicine, 37(6), 861-864. https://doi.org/10.1001/archinte.1926.00120240133010

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Among all the spurious data we have to deal with, part is that "500,000 covid deaths", which include an unknown number of misattributed deaths.

Some significant number of deaths were actually "death with covid" which might as well be reported as "death with acne."

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The misattribution of deaths from covid due to meaningless PCR tests was one of the most serious lies of the whole cluster. Beyond the financial motives, it concealed how people were dying from what was done to ‘protect’ them, rather than the virus.

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Actually the actuaries started talking in 2022 about the 9sigma events they were seeing in the 4th quarter of 2021 and 1st quarter of 2022. Not just deaths but mass permanent disabilities. They made a big noise about unprecedented threat to their industry. Then they went really quiet in late 2022. By 2023, they were still silent, but started prepping the industry and governments for massive increases in premiums to help the industry survive. Then nada.😐 Crickets.😐🤨🤐🤐😤

#dontletthemhide #dontbuytheBS #wearemany #wearememory #wewillnotforget #mistakeswereNOTmade #getlocalised

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We reached out to them in early 2021.

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Jun 15Liked by Joel Smalley

I'm not surprised, you've always been solid in your numbers Numero😉

I should have specified, my bad, I was responding to Charles comment😊

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That was both fascinating and complicated for a mere non-mathematical mortal!

This is proof, is it not, that covid/SARS-Cov-2 was merely a nasty cold that was as dangerous to the old and frail as all the other nasty colds out there. It is proof that the government reaction, egged on by the mainstream media, caused many people to die and the "safe and effective" jabs were neither.

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Exactly. I think after so many years, this subject matter is no longer too complicated after all?! You go to the top of the class!

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Wrong virus, even if it was an infectious agent.

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Notwithstanding that comment this is an amazing piece of work. You are the preeminent mortality expert worldwide IMO!

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Jun 15Liked by Joel Smalley

thank you for sharing your thorough and very interesting work, joel!

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I can't help thinking that the planet is now toxic to life. Just the knowledge that everyone on the planet now has Teflon in them thanks to the Dupont family. Even Madame Curie never questioned the toxicity of her glow in the dark pet rocks until it killed her and her hubby. Humans, running before they can walk.

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Teflon? It's very biocompatible. Do you mean perfluoroalkyl sulfonates and carboxylic acids?

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You've lost me there, I am not a chemist... I'm talking about this - https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2020/dec/17/dark-waters-pfas-ticking-chemical-time-bomb-in-your-blood

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Yep, PFAS and PFOS. Fascinating toxicants.

I took a college credit biomaterials course in high school. Teflon (polytetrafluoroethylene) disks implanted in mice elicited no biological reaction at all.

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Interesting thanks, I'm following you, I need clever people around me! Good to know that it elicits no biological effect, given that they Teflonated the entire planet and no one consented.

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PTFE (not PFAS and PFOS, of course) might be even better than fluorspar for sequestering fluoride, which transports aluminum across the blood-brain barrier, and perhaps increases its intestinal absorption as well. Fluoride also inhibits osteoclasts, ruining tooth and bone structure.

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I'd heard that about Fluoride, I still feel nervous about brushing my teeth with an industrial waste product. My cousin is an industrial chemist, it's a fascinating field...

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I am so thankful when I had a virus in March 2020 I instinctively stayed at home despite having problems taking deep breaths, I was 64 yrs old but I did not want to even see a doctor never mind a hospital. Overnight my breathing symptoms reduced and I was able to make a recovery over several weeks with no complications. I often wonder if I had let my fear overwhelm me that night and I had gone to hospital, being my age and living in the UK, what the outcome would have been. I suspect it would have been dire for me with their strict adherence to the dreaded Covid protocols.

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Do actuaries agree with this analysis? They have financial “skin in the game” with expected mortality rates.

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Interestingly, we were in touch with a couple in 2020 who dared not speak out for fear of reprimand from the Society. I had them in mind whilst writing this piece and plan to reach back out to them.

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“I have never doubted the existence of COVID, nor its potential impact on mortality. Looking at this chart reassures me. In my opinion, COVID is represented by the excess mortality distribution between 5th Feb 2020 and 18th March 2020. In other words, it was a very ordinary, late season pathogen, associated with (though not definitively causing) a relatively benign mortality outcome relative to prior seasons.”

Doesn’t that demonstrate some observer bias?

Is the mortality pattern so markedly different from many other years that it definitely supports the existence of a novel pathogen as you suggest?

You yourself qualify your own observation with “not definitely causing” - so surely the truth is that the mortality pattern actually has no bearing on the argument as to whether or not there was a novel virus circulating.

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Jun 15·edited Jun 15Author

Only novel because they bothered to sequence it and make a thing of it. They could probably have picked out hundreds of other "novel" sequences and pinned it on those too? I meant to add that by the time the real death started happening, they were only picking up remnants of SARS-CoV-2 anyway?!

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So in that case may I respectfully suggest you don’t actually believe this assertion:

“I have never doubted the existence of COVID”

…since to say with such certainty that “COVID exists” presupposes a novel disease caused by a novel virus, not one which - other than having a (supposedly) novel sequence (as does every iteration of a mutating virus) - is indistinguishable from other upper respiratory infections thought to be viral in nature.

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Indeed. I'm just bowing to convention. Occasionally, I correctly write SARS-CoV-2, only to change it to COVID to avoid sounding pedantic. ;-)

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It’s important though. Our kids’ freedom from the permanent constraints of a biosecurity surveillance state depend on disproving the lie that mad scientists can make scary viruses with pandemic potential.

At present most people are blindly acquiescing to the claim by governments worldwide that such a monstrous system is necessary because they think that an engineered virus killed their loved ones in hospital, when in fact they were murdered.

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I think my opening paragraph reveals my position on this is aligned with yours?

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Only one observation. ConVid was Flu with better PR.

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F789 the CovIDIOTS ... F789 the Vaxxers.... F789 the Government.... F789 everything

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JtxlArfnSaI

https://genius.com/Warmduscher-wild-flowers-lyrics

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Could we please see one or more cumulative excess mortality chart(s)? There are some indications that the cumulative could bend downward towards zero in some spots, which would possibly differ from various previous findings that just go up and up. Yes?

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Just tried to post the link to this article on Facebook and it was immediately censored and deleted. Anyone else have this issue?

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Courtesy of 'The Highwire' and Dr Robert Malone - 2017 Interview /paper - Alexander Kouzminov

https://www.researchgate.net/publication/320046708_Information_bioterrorism_-_a_new_form_of_global_manipulation

I have a question: Are we now at a point where a witness in a court can say that 'covid vaccines kill people'?

And if not, what would it take to get there?

Thanks for this great paper on life expectancy - another piece of the puzzle.

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